Sugita vs Dimitrov (By: Iniestaone)
After two bad picks on Friday from Quito, I decided to cut it short and wait for Rotterdam. This match between Sugita and Dimitrov caught my attention as the odds are dropping rapidly on Sugita since yesterday. Unibet opened the market at 5.00 on a Sugita victory, it stands at 4.50 now and might drop below 4. I am not certain whether this match is played tomorrow or on Wednesday.
So, Dimitrov had to cancel Sofia due to his shoulder not being fully fit. Its a tournament that means a lot to him since its in his home country and he won it last year so he missed out on a lot of points. The fact that he did not even take a stab at it tells me his shoulder might be in serious problems and Sugita really is not a good player to face when one is not fully fit as the Japanese is very mobile, returns a lot of shots and has a good variation to his game which might frustrate Dimitrov who aside from his injury concern is a very unreliable player.
Sugita is having a decent year so far, he took a set from Khachanov in Auckland, he defeated Sock in Australian Open and lost the following round to Karlovic at 10-12 in the final set. He then played two five set matches in Davis Cup where he defeated Seppi but lost to Fognini. Playing 10 sets in 2 days might explain his early Montpellier exit to Millman but that was 5 days ago, he has had time to prepare for Rotterdam and I don't think he should be a 4.50 underdog vs Dimitrov considering the circumstances
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Sugita vs Dimitrov prediction
|Sugita||Unibet||4.50||6||0-2 LOST (-6 units)|