Medvedev D. vs Gasquet (By: Iniestaone)
The odds are dropping on this bet on most bookies, Betsson still has it untouched at 1.90 which I see as great value.
This might turn out to be the best match in Montpellier today as Gasquet and Medvedev have both started the year in a good way: Gasquet is 5/2, Medvedev is 8/2. The Russian won Sydney and was knocked out by Chung in Australian Open, Gasquet reached the 3rd round before losing to Federer.
Now, Montpellier is a tournament where Gasquet feels very much at home. He has won it 3 times and he's been in the finals two other times. Last year he lost to Zverev in the finals in two sets. What I wrote about Khachanov - Ferrer pretty much goes for this match too: Medvedev is a young, energetic player who hits very hard and has a very big serve. I do believe Gasquet will have a somewhat difficult time coping with him on this fast surface. He's a great return player but his return game is for sure wearing off a bit as he ages. The most similar player to Medvedev he has faced so far this year is Tsitsipas in Doha where the Greek won 6-3 6-4 and didn't even offer Gasquet a single breakpoint. The same odds movement could be detected there as in this match: Tsitsipas started as a 3.40ish underdog and it went down to around 3.00, almost exactly the same as with Medvedev. Had they not played in France today I might've done a bet for Medvedev to win the match but since Gasquet has so much crowd support on French courts and truly brings out his best game here, I'm settling for Medvedev to take a set.
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Medvedev D. vs Gasquet prediction
|Medvedev +1,5 sets||Betsson||1.90||8||0-2 LOST (-8 units)|