Escobedo vs Karlovic
Unibet is one of the very few bookies that has the odds correct on this one, they have the first set to go over 10.5 games at 1.56 which is a lot more reasonable than 10bet's 1.71.
Karlovic benefits a lot from fast surfaces like Quito and the only reason he was knocked out of the first round last year was that he faced Estrella who won after 3 tiebreaks. What's worth noticing is that in 18 serve games Karlovic only lost 15 points in that match and there were three tiebreaks so everything tells me that he will once again have another fantastic performance on his own serve.
Much like Karlovic, Escobedo is not a very good clay courter but it doesn't matter here as the Quito courts are a lot more like fast hardcourts than the clay courts these guys are average on. Escobedo also has a decent serve and knowing Karlovic has basically no return game, I am confident in the first set going over this line.
Escobedo vs Karlovic prediction
|1st set over 10.5||10bet||1.71||8||4-6 LOST (-8 units)|