Tsitsipas vs Quentin Halys
Today's Quimper brings two good semi finals and i'll make sure to watch both. The best bet i've found is Halys +2,5 games.
Tsitsipas managed to cover this line against Setkic against whom he was a big favorite (around 1.20) and won 6-3 6-4. He dropped sets to Hoang and Napolitano and won the matches with 1 and 2 games difference. His big serve has not been that magnificent so far in Quimper as he has mixed very strong serve games with some subpar ones and offered breakpoints to Hoang and Napolitano during a set in each of the matches.
Halys has only been broken once in Quimper: in the third game of the tournament vs Bourgue. Other than that he has held his serve against Millot and Janvier who arguably are both better return players than Tsitsipas is.
Both of them are good indoor players, both have big serves which makes them benefit from the faster surfaces. Tsitsipas has been made favorite by the bookies and perhaps rightly so but the line of 2,5 games is excellent here: if it were 3,5 the odds would not be worthy and if it were 1,5 it would be too low. Instead, we get full coverage for Halys losing in two tiebreaks which is a very real possibility. I don't see Tsitsipas breaking him, but he could very well outserve him in tiebreaks. Halys who is also a good server could end up winning this but I feel a lot more comfortable with the handicap bet.
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Tsitsipas vs Quentin Halys prediction
|Halys +2,5||Pinnacle||1.74||8||1-2 WON (+5.92 units)|