Del Potro vs Ferrer
Semifinal match in Auckland between Juan Martin Del Potro and David Ferrer.
First tournament for both of them during this year. They meet each other 10 times and Ferrer leads 6:4. I won't pay attention to these stats, cause I think they are useless now. Only one of these matches is in the last 4-5 years when Del Potro beat Ferrer in three sets in US Open. Del Potro performed really well till now- I expect him to have some problems against big guys like Shapovalov and Kachanov, but he demolished them with straight set wins. His start against the Canadian was really moody, Shapovalov dictated the points and made a lot of winners, but then something changed completely on the court- Denis started to make mistakes from everywhere and was broken so many times to 0 or 15. Del Potro's mood finally came alive and he finished his opponent without any problems giving him 6 games. Then against Kachanov they played equal first set, where Del Potro used his chances earning an early minibreak and won the set. He succeeded to break Karen in the start of the second set and that was absolutely enough. I have to point that in these two matches he didn't show more than 30/40% of his real potential on the court.
David Ferrer made brilliant last match against Chung, but I don't really understand what's happening with this young Korean. In the end of last season he won the finals of Next gen tournament in Milano, but now he is so mentally weak. He was miles away from his best yesterday against David. However almost all of the games went to 30:30 or 40:40 and Ferrer used his big experienced to take most of them. Chung won 5 games(6:3 6:2) but he succeeded to make two breaks, which was shocking with such poor display.
That's the main reason for my bet(IT IS STILL RISKY)- Del Potro wasn't broken till now in Auckland, while Ferrer was broken 2 times by a player with awful performance. Yeah, Ferrer plays really good in Auckland, but that's the same with Del Potro.
I have absolutely no doubt that the Argentinian will play in the final in Auckland, maybe against Agut, but the odds for his win are about 1.35-1.40 which is enough if you mix it with another match. Here I will pick a straight set win for Del Potro with higher odds. In Pinnacle it's brilliant(2.12) so I'm going with it. If you don't want to risk too much just play DelPo win, but here 1.40 is not enough-I like higher odds :))
Del Potro vs Ferrer prediction
|Del Potro -1.5 Sets||Pinnacle||2.12||9||2-0 WON (+10.08 units)|