Stabaek vs Lillestrom by 20Legend

Stabaek did their job and grabbed the three vital points in the most important game of the season against Bodo/Glimt (1-0) last Monday. It was a real battle, but it was also some portions of luck involved for Stabaek. Bodo/Glimt was using their lethal counter-attacks as their weapon and created several chances, but without being efficient enough to score. Stabaek had most of the ball and tried to find the right spaces to play the ball, but struggled with getting through for a long time. It was therefore 0-0 at halftime with two nervous teams involved and it became clear that the first goal was going to be decisive.

Stabaek managed to find the space that they needed after 61 minutes when Keita found the youngster Hanche-Olsen who scored his first goal in his debut. The rest of the game turned out to be chaotic with Bodo/Glimt trying to respond while Stabaek was just trying to keep the ball as much as possible in order to let the time do the work. It did not result in the biggest chances and Stabaek could change places with Bodo/Glimt on the table at the time. Stabaek was in 13th place, but that was before Bodo/Glimt’s win against Stromsgodset (4-2) yesterday. Stabaek fell down to 14th place which is the uncomfortable qualification spot.

Lillestrom is the 15th team that simply has to win in order to keep faith in surviving this season. The club decided to sack Runar Kristinsson and replace him with an old familiar face in Arne Erlandsen two weeks ago. The club’s proud history of over 40 consistent years in Tippeligaen could now be over if not any drastic measures are taken. 0-2-3 from the last five games has only given them two point’s at the most important time of the season. It has been a season where Lillestrom has been the edge behind all season long and last week against Sogndal (1-2) was no exception. Their keeper Arnold Origi has also made some vital errors in the past games which has given the opposition the points that Lillestrom needs so bad. The game against Sogndal was another bad day for Origi. It was also a frustrating start for the new coach Arne Erlandsen.

Lillestrom dominated the first half in terms of getting closest to scoring. First they hit the post, then the crossbar, but it would not changes the score and 0-0 was a fact at halftime. The referee came into focus in the second half though as Sogndal was awarded a penalty after 64 minutes, but the referee managed to show off the wrong player. Instead of showing off defender Simen Kind Mikalsen who dragged Sogndal’s striker down, the referee gave the captain Frode Kippe the red card. However, Lillstrom came back after a free kick was badly cleared and Matthew smashed in 1-1 which was totally fair to say at least.

The stadium exploded with emotions from both players and fans, but it would not last this time either. It was now Lillestrom who gave a bad clearance from a corner after 72 minutes. Sogndal made a new cross from the right-hand side and Origi came out to take it. However, he slipped the ball between his gloves so Ole Amund Sveen could put Sogndal into the lead once again. The match really collapsed after this moment and Lillestrom had not the energy to respond with ten men and another error from Origi to process. Defender Frode Kippe (19/1) is suspended.

This match is new possibilities for both teams to grab vital points as it is the 14th and the 15th place that clashes together today. Both teams can still be relegated, but the pressure is now almost unbearable for Lillestrom at the moment. A loss today will probably kill the hope of staying up, while Stabaek could possibly wave goodbye to the relegation zone if they get the win. It should be all set for another nervous game here and the recipe is simple for both teams as they need to score. The first goal will automatically give space for the other team to score and over 2.5 goals is the natural pick to take in this match.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @1.76 with Pinnacle
Result: 1-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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1 Comment

  1. Tole says:

    Agree with 3+ goals, Lillestrom has to go full out attack and get 3 points today, which will leave space for Stabaek. If a goal comes early on I wouldn’t be suprised if it goes over 5.

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