Ranheim vs Raufoss by 20Legend

Ranheim struggled for a long time in the lower part of the table and looked like they could be relegated. However, one of the most variable teams in the league has finally managed to find their level as a team that belongs in this league. The timing could not be more perfect either as it is only three games left of the season. The club is not safe yet with their 10th place and 34 points as it is six points down to direct relegation. However, it should be a lot going wrong and today’s opponent should be beaten in order to take a long step towards another season in OBOS-Ligaen.

Their last game against Fredrikstad (1-7) was a truly demonstration of what this team are capable of when they perform at their best. The problem is that Ranheim shows it way too rarely in order to take the last step and qualify for Tippeligaen. With that being said, nothing could be taken away from the last performance against one of the in-form teams in the league. Ranheim enjoyed full control from the first kick of the ball and their top scorer Robert Stene (27/17) showed how important he is to the club once again. With a hat trick in the first half and Fredrikstad got a man sent off, it became pretty clear who were the better team. Stene continued his run in the second half with his fourth goal while Fredrikstad had more than enough with just defending. Ranheim continued to push for more goals and finished the game with three goals within the last 15 minutes. It was Ranheim’s best performance by far this season even with if three of the goals came after penalties.

It is not much new to write about Raufoss as 2nd Division is calling again for the newcomers. The team had a positive start, but it became clear quite early that the team was not good enough for this league. 5-3-19 and 18 points in 27 games says it all about their performances. There has been some good games in between all the poor once though, but it is some time ago now with six straight defeats to their name.

They do not give up on trying to do their best though as their last match against Kongsvinger (2-4) really showed. Kongsvinger had to win in order to fight for a place among the important top six, while Raufoss stepped up and lead twice at halftime (1-0 and 2-1). However, the team became tired as the game progressed which gave Kongsvinger the complete initiative. It seemed like Raufoss went out of air when they made a penalty after 65 minutes. Kongsvinger equalized and killed the game with two back-to-back goals shortly after.

An important factor towards this game is that several of their regular players helped Raufoss 2 to three points in order to fight for staying up in 3rd Division. 1st Keeper Ole Krisitan Lauvli (21 games), defender Aaron Jones (11/1), midfielder Krisitan Ovenstad (23/0), striker Evandro Roncatto (3/0), midfielder Martin Heiberg (0/0) and striker Ole Thomas Skogli (5/0) joined the team bus towards Ranheim right after they had played the game yesterday. In addition striker Magnus Solum (8/1) and midfielder Sanchez (18/1) are injured, while midfielder Havard Nome (23/2) and striker Simen Naess (24/4) are highly doubtful.

Ranheim comes from two wins that include as real demonstration against Fredrikstad two weeks ago. Their confidence should be high and the players should be motivated to taking three important points to stay away from the question of relegation. Raufoss is already relegated and has changed focus into keeping their second team up in the 3rd Division. With several players playing back-to-back games and regular players being injured, it should be difficult to keep up with Robert Stene and the rest of the home team. I expect Ranheim to cover the handicap despite being variable in their performances.

Bet: Ranheim -1.5 AH @1.78 with Unibet
Result: 1-0 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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2 Comments

  1. Tole says:

    Hey Legend, I like your picks for today, exactly the same as I want to play :)
    Tho I am also thinking about Bryne 1, do you have something on that?

  2. 20legend says:

    Hi Tole: Great, I am glad that you have the same views:). I was thinking about taking Bryne myself, but I did not as it is such an important game for both teams.

    15th placed Bryne managed to beat 3rd placed Jerv (1-3) last game which brought them up on 26 points. 12th placed Hodd has the safe spot with one point down to Ull/Kisa and three points down to KFUM Oslo and Bryne. Bryne has a tough ending to the season after this game with Sandefjord away before taking on Fredrikstad at home in the last game. Seven points must be taken in order to make it in my opinion which should be tough. However, things has been better lately with Bryne’s two straight wins, but more impressive 3-0-0 from their last three home games.

    12th placed Hodd is not in a great form with 0-2-3 from their last five games. They are also the worst team away from home this season (0-2-11). They need to turn things around fast, starting today with a home game agaisnt 7th placed Strommen and 4th placed Sandnes Ulf away from home in their remaining games after tonight. That could mean relegation due to their horrible statistics away from home.

    All in all, I will agree with you on backing a regular home win tonight as the current form makes Bryne clear favorites. Bryne has not other choice but to win this match if OBOS-Ligaen should be their league next season. Hodd is in horrible form and should struggle away from home tonight as well. Just keep in mind that the relegation-factor often tends to make the teams rise when they need it the most. An example is Bryne’s last win agaisnt 3rd placed Jerv. Low stakes would therefore be my advise:) Good luck, Tole :)

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