Orgryte vs Assyriska by Sweem
Superettan is already confirmed on the top positions, but it is still dramatic at the bottom where teams are still battling to avoid relegation.
Orgryte are the hosts of the fixture, but have been massively distracted by an infected relation to IFK Goteborg, the club in Allsvenskan. The reason for the infected relation is that Goteborg recently announced the signing of midfielder Sebastian Ohlsson, the Orgryte player who leads the team in goals and should be regarded their best player by far. It does not make the situation better by the fact that both teams are from the same region, so this is a sensitive transfer to announce. Sebastian Ohlsson himself has been posing in the jersey of Goteborg, one of the worst rivals to Orgryte, and obviously it has caught attention from supporters.
The club has now decided to not give Sebastian a worthy 'goodbye' and instead ban him from this last fixture, meaning that they will be without their best player. Luckily for Orgryte, the outcome of this match is not of importance but his absence will be felt - as he has scored 25% of Orgrytes goals this season from midfield position.
The situation is different in Assyriska - Coach Charbel Abraham will make his fourth match in charge, and he is yet undefeated since taking over Assyriska in hopes of saving the team in Superettan. Normally, a new coach brings a positive run of games in the beginning and this has clearly happened with Assyriska as they are on a good run in a crucial stage. Unlike their opponents, Assyriska have all reasons in the world to play for a positive result - a victory would at best keep them in Superettan (if Varnamo loses) but otherwise they will remain with a relegation playoff which is also a chance to stay.
A loss would be dreadful, as they would risk direct relegation if Ljungskile would win. In other simplified words - Assyriska have this in their own hands - and it certainly helps after Charbel Abraham took over the club, being a good influence and inspiration which has led to a great run of results
The visitors do not have any significant absentees.
Both sides have way different incentives. Orgryte is a classic club in Swedish football and have already confirmed their place in Superettan next season. The team will be impacted by all the media attention and open 'board argument' between themselves and their rivals Goteborg. It certainly steals focus from a match like this. Assyriska will need to do their everything to avoid a loss, preferably win.
In my honest opinion, their chances of winning are only increasing when Orgryte miss their best player who have scored 1/4 of the team goals and the mind set of Orgryte is to treat this game like a practice in comparison to Assyriska. The odds are worth a shot but I will play it with coverage and opt for the draw no bet on the visitors who will go in and fight for their lives.