Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff by Luke

Nottingham Forest is having many ups and downs during the season till now, but also playing with hot and cold phases during a single game as well, so it doesn't surprise that the team is just above the relegation zone at the moment, with three points more than relegating placed Cardiff. After thirteen rounds played, Nottingham has four victories, three draws and six defeats, while their matches are very interesting to watch, since they score goals with ease, but also concede easier than almost any other Championship side.

In the most recent game, the team wasn't able to walk away with something on the road against Blackburn, suffering 2:1 defeat. Hosts scored both goals inside the first halftime via Gallagher, while the visitors reduced via Perquis just before the full time whistle. Visitors actually held the ball much more and maybe deserved something more out of the game, however conceded these two goals way too easy and couldn't get back into the match later on. Players of Nottingham are doing way better in front of own fans (having earned thirteen in comparison to only two points on the road), so their target here is nothing but the victory.

Central defender Matt Mills (10/1) and right full back Hildeberto Pereira (11/1) are both suspended. Striker Nicklas Bendtner (6/1) is injured. David Vaughan and Mustapha Carayol are doubtful, but with chances to play. Home side should be lined up in 4-2-3-1 formation with Vellios as number nine.

Cardiff, on the other side, is under perfoming a lot for now, being only third from the bottom of the table, with only twelve points earned so far out of thirteen games. Furthermore, they have only 3-3-7 record and can't be nowhere satisfied, especially with the quality shown in attack for now, since they have scored only eleven goals, with only two teams being less efficient then them - Derby and Ipswich.

They come from a point taken at home against Sheffield Wednesday on Wednesday evening in a 1:1 draw. Players of Cardiff took the lead in ninth minute with a goal from Whittingham, but from that moment on they were oriented to a defensive performance and left the ball completely to their visitors, who managed to equalize in 55th minute via Pudil. Despite much more of ball possession for players of Sheffield, visitors didn't manage to overturn the score completely, entering quite passive and defensive oriented ending of the game from both parts.

Cardiff may be unchanged for this one, with forward Frederic Gounongbe (8/0) being their only injury absentee. Visitors will be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Lambert set as their central striker.

  • Nottingham Forest have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Cardiff.

Nottingham plays much better in front of own fans and the team goes into the match way more stronger, determined and offensive than in games away from home. I expect the home team to attack from the off in order to get another three pointer, while Cardiff surely remains with quality to score here as well. Visitors are coming from two decent performances and might be close to improving in form. I expect very open game with both teams having plenty of chances to score more than just once here.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score @ 2.10 with Bet365
Result: 1-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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3 Comments

  1. Shibby says:

    Top tip :)

  2. 19 says:

    Easy Winner:)

  3. Shibby says:

    2 very late winners today Luke :) well player

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