Vegas vs Washington (By: FairPlayBet)
We have arrived to the end. Vegas Golden Knights and Washington Capitals are going to face each other in the Stanley Cup finals.
This is the opening game of the series on the Vegas' ice.
Both have outstanding season, both overachieved the expectations. Washington finally managed to overcome Pittsburgh Penguins and after that it was expected they will be here in the great finals, playing for the trophy.
But what to say about Vegas? The first season ever for this new NHL franchise and right away place in the finals. The squad composed from the players who have been told in bunch of other teams that they are not good enough and with coach who was fired from Florida. But these guys showed nothing is impossible. They have the home advantage in possible 7th game and are favorites by the offered odds to lift the trophy.
Still, IMO opinion the wrong side is set for favorite and hopefully this will be proved already tonight in this Game 1. I trust to Alexander Ovechkin, I trust to Capitals that they won't miss this chance.
The Golden Knights have had much more time to prepear this opening game. Even nine days have passed since they closed the series with Winnipeg. But the opposite of expected, such long break instead to be helpful, very often can affect on negative way and the team in question very often came out a little bit rusty in Game 1 although they are well rest.
When talikng about rest and possible fatigue, don't worry about Washington Capitals. They have had too, plenty of time to rest from series against Tampa Bay. I mean five days, that should be ideal, just enough long to recover and regroup and not too long to get rusty.
Both goaltenders, Fleury for Vegas and Holtby for Washington have been phenomenal. That's the reason I am skipping here betting on totals although I have strong lean towards over in the Game 1.
I also have impression betting Draw regular time could be great tactic in this finals starting from this opening game. I expect to see several OT in this series and having these odds of 4.00+ for such option, IMO will secure nice profit.
Have in mind the last 14 games in this postseason were without Over Time. That goes for both conference finals (Vegas vs Winnipeg 5 games and Washington vs Tampa Bay 7 games) plus even a little bit before that. The last time we saw OT was in the conference semifinals when the Capitals in game 6 won after OT and closed the series against Penguins.
I think it's time to we see some OT and IMO such tactic can bring great profit. I will definitely put some smaller stakes on that in every game starting from this opening match.
But as my main bet for Game 1 I am going with Washington Capitals +0.5 in regular time. So basically we need them just not to lose in 60 minutes, if not to win then at least to force overtime and then it wouldn't matter anymore, at least not for this bet.
Probably we will see a little bit more penalties than usual in this Game 1. That could be advantage for the Caps cause they are very dangerous side when being with player more on the ice. I hope to see couple goals on power play from Ovechkin and the rest of the Caps.
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Vegas vs Washington prediction
|Washington +0.5 regular time||Pinnacle||1.79||8||6-4 LOST (-8 units)|