Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs in the Round 1 of the new NFL season.
Last time these two were pretty similar. KC Chiefs were 10-6 and 4-4 on the road. LA Chargers have had just one win less overall, 9-7 and 5-3 were at home. Still, unlike KC, the team from LA remained below the line back then.
Both were 2-2 in the preseason now.
In this game I expect from Chargers to dominate and at the end maybe even comfortably to cover this shorth handicap. IMO they will start strong and thus confirm opinion of many that they are contenders to win the division this seaaon.
Still, the odds are dropping so for better value we would need to go now with -3.5 instead of -3. But 3 is crucial number in this sport. In case it's turn out this is close game, it could happen to be decided by one field goal. So this half point could save us money with possible push bet.
That's why I'll go with -3 for slimy 1.79 odds.
In the mentioned last season the Chiefs have been more successful in the mutual games by winning both times, 30-13 at home and 24-10 here in LA.
But now IMO is different situation. The host improved. After all, they improved already last time and closed with 9-3 in final 12 games after starting with 0-4. So, such poor start is the last they need now. Also note that the mentioned 5-3 at home record was after 0-3 and then five straight home wins to close regular season.
I have impression this had to do with fact Chargers were without enough fan support early on (they moved from San Diego to Los Angeles) but later that looked much better so eventually they have had real home advantage. IMO in this seaaon this will look even better.
KC Chiefs will enter into new season with a new guy as first QB. Namely, five years QB, Alex Smith has gone to Washington Red Skins and now the Chiefs will relay on Patrick Mahomes as their first option. I think this is now big blow for the Chiefs. Mahomes IMO is not yet Smith's level. Mahomes had just one game in NFL, it was 27-24 win over Denver season ago. But given on time when was played and given the opponent, that game wasn't exactly the real test.
In this preseason Patrick Mahomes was with many ups and downs. To be honest, I am much closer to say Chiefs' offense looked poor and not trustworthy at all.
That being said, Philip Rivers for Los Angeles Chargers is the QB whom I trust way more.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction
|LA Chargers -3||Pinnacle||1.79||8||28-38 LOST (-8 units)|