San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets (By: Miyagi)

The Spurs gave the Nuggets some of their own medicine in the last game. They were very aggressive in the offense attacking the basket at will while the Nuggets were unable to guard high pick and rolls, close lanes, protect their rim or even secure the defensive rebounds and prevent extra scoring opportunities. The Spurs had a massive 62 points from inside the paint and they easily outrebounded the Nuggets with their 15 offensive rebounds. All those are Nuggets' strengths, at least on papers, as they rank top 5 in the league points inside the paint, assists, offensive rebounds allowed to their opponents and they are a much better rebounding team (10th) than the Spurs (23rd).

Despite all those things that went wrong for the Nuggets and that incredible performance from White (14-17 2P, 1-4 3P, 36 points) it was a rather close game despite what the (118-108) final score indicates.

The Nuggets will require better rebounding, especially in defense, and that's Jokic's job mainly. Better ball movement in the offense, and make the Spurs work inside the paint other than taking desperate shots (36% of their total attempts and 42% of their total points came from the 3P line).

Jokic averages 17.1 points, 9.0 assists, and 9.9 rebounds in 7 games against the Spurs so far this season. He played just 32 minutes the other day but in what will be an even tougher and more crucial game today, he will go above 35 minutes easily, unless there will be a rare foul trouble for him early. Jokic is not a direct threat for the Spurs inside the paint and if it wasn't for his 3-pointers he would average roughly 13 points in those series but his playmaking and assisting is the real threat. Still, he should get his 10+ points, he should do a better job rebounding the ball in defense which could lead to extra assists in fast breaks but either way, I can see more and better assisting from him today in the offense.

Jokic has 3 triple-doubles in his last 9 meetings with the Spurs and already has one in those series (Game 1). It is clear that this is a value bet and at those odds, I can easily guarantee that it doesn't get any better than that.

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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Jokic Triple-Double Pinnacle 5.50 6 29/8/12 LOST (-6 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Miyagi).
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