Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets (By: FairPlayBet)

LA Lakers against Denver Nuggets. The home team is real disaster, to say at least. They have completely disappointed this season. Or, maybe everyone had unrealistic expectations from one modest and first of all very young Lakers team. To big but unrealistic expectations due to fact they added LeBron James to its roster. Still, it turned out it wasn't enough to they came back to playoffs right away. Yes, we can say already now, Lakers won't be in postseason. Cause, how could they reach it when currently this team is 6 wins below the line. Those current No.7 and No.8, Clippers and Spurs are expected to finish with around 45 wins. Lakers currently have 30 wins and only 18 games left. So, they are done. I mean, Lakers are done long ago. All those losses from some of the league worst teams were clear indicators Lakers are garbage. The newest failure vs LA Clippers was everything but surprise. Of course Lakers as league 2nd worst ATS team couldn't cover against Clippers. They couldn't even win.

In rest of the season, no matter who is the opponent, if I bet the side, I could go only against Lakers. But today they meets top team, Denver Nuggets. This means Lakers are catching points. As said earlier, I like much more to go against the Lakers in favorite role, especially if they are on the road. This is not such spot. Do not forget, the last time Lakers won was at home against top team, Houston. I don't think they are going to win again now, but obviously not good spot to bet against them as in situation when they are favorites.

Also, Nuggets are now with 3 straight losses. Denver continues to waste all chances to take leading position on the West. GSW lost again, now that was 5th defeat for Warriors in last 8, but Denver fails to take advantage of that.

The last time I was against Denver, away in San Antonio. It turned out to be winner but I almost lost even that bet. Entire game huge Spurs' lead. 15 pts with some 3 minutes or less left on the clock. And at the end, I was fortunate to win that bet, Spurs were fortunate not to lose. Nuggets had two possessions to take the lead with seconds left. Spurs defended this and Nuggets sent them to free throw line. Rudy Gay of course misses both and Nuggets with new chance on 4 seconds and with time-out left. They missed last second shoot and Spurs won in one point game.

So, now everything is possible. It is expected to Nuggets get back on the winning track but again, Lakers in underdog role, I'll stay off.

But over the totals should be nice play. Lakers play no defense. I don't see player who can stop Jokic. In earlier meetings, they even tried with LeBron on Jokic but it didn't work well. In game in Denver it was real blowout and under cause Lakers scored only 85 pts but here in LA it was Lakers' win and with 235 total points.

I'll go with over. Have in mind that Lakers are not just 2nd worst ATS team but they are also one of worst choices for over bettors. But not because their games are low scoring, what more it's the opposite, they are involved mainly in high scoring games. But the problem is that those totals usually are unrealistically high. Initial totals are mainly too high on Lakers' games plus bettors mainly by default are going with over and push those lines even higher. And then of course % of games that went over the totals is low when Lakers are in question.

But today's match is exception. This time not even close to those 235-240 totals range. This time we have only 225.5 pts. I feel we have here winner on over the totals.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 225.5 Pinnacle 1.85 9 99-115 LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (FairPlayBet).
+8 -3
Comments (1)
Over 225.5
03/06/2019 - 18:05
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