Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
This is one of those decisions/bets that comes effortlessly, without the need or comparisons, stats and lot of work, yet justification is required. Celtics will miss Centers Horford and Baynes, although at least Morris is going to make it today, and that is a problem for them as they miss a big guy who can challenge for the rebounds on both ends. Celtics as a team, in an attempt to stretch the court, take a lot of long-range shots per game (3rd in the league in attempts), sometimes they make them like in their first meeting with the Bucks and their franchise-record 24 three-pointers(!) while other times they struggle deeply. In general, that leads to extra rebounds and they rank amongst the teams that allow the most defensive rebounds in the league, 34.6 per game.
Celtics are struggling with defensive rebounds recently and in their last 3 games, their opponents average a huge 15.7 Offensive rebounds, which is easily the worst in the league and with their big-guys missing this one the struggle is expected to continue.
Antetokunmpo averages 12.9 rebounds per game and when he is on the court he sweeps almost every defensive rebound while he might go above his 2.6 offensive rebounds given the Celtics current struggle. This line is suspiciously low and although the odds are not great, this pick could make it to a parlay easily.
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
|Antetokunmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds||Bet365||1.61||8||8 LOST (-8 units)|