Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers
Los Angeles Lakers - Indiana Pacers
Of course the Lakers are still overvalued by the markets, because of them being the biggest brand between the basketball franchises and because of them having the biggest player in nowdays basketball. That leads to their 7-13 ATS record in this season, despite having a 11-9 SU record.
Though, this game is carrying the blueprint of the guarding sports plagued by injuries, with Indiana's best player, Victor Oladipo, missing while the Lakers have Rondo out and Ball questionable (he says he's good to go after he left the Denver court with a sprained ankle, but concerning his history of injuries his team may decide to be more cautious).
Since Rondo is out LeBron does a lot more of a point guard work and all his numbers confirm that.
The thing is ... in appropriate situations the Lakers are a good under play (they cashed the under in 10 out of their past 12 games). And I think tonight is a right spot for another under.
Let's see ...
Indiana is the 5th best team in NBA in stopping the opponents from shooting, with 44.4% opponents shooting percentage. The Lakes rank 15th with 45.4 ... but for the past 3 they average the exact same number as Indiana for the season: 44.4%.
While counting between the worst teams in the league in defending three points scoring, with Pacers the 30th and the Lalers 17th, this compensates interestingly the fact that both teams are shooting the 3 pointers at awful ratios as of late, with the hosts recording 26.6% and the visitors 33.8% for the past 3 games. So no one wins here but the low scoring bettors.
Le's see more about the defensive end of the court: Indiana is top2 in NBA in opponents' points allowed, with 102.2 ppg. Lakers might be 23rd, with 113 ppg, yet they are 6th in the league for their past 3 games, with 102.7 ppg. Yeah, they have stepped up defensively since Tyson Chandler has arrived.
These teams aren't quite efficient, are they?
They are actually 24th (the Pacers, 0.943 team effective possesion ratio) and 22th (the Lakers, 0.947) in the league, with the latter being actually the worst fort the past 3 games, with a effective possesion ratio of 0.884. And that will meet Indiana's opponents' effiective possesion ratio of 0.929, the 3rd best in NBA.
Combine that with Indiana's 3rd lowest pace in the league (aren't they the PACERS?), 100.8 possesions per game and the Lakers coming down from averaging 107.1 posessions per game for the season to only 103.8 for the past 3 games and ...
I'm calling this a situational UNDER matchup ... so let's go green!
Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers prediction
|Under 216 points scored in the game||Pinnacle||1.95||9||104-96 WON (+8.55 units)|