Cleveland Cavs vs Boston Celtics
Cleveland is 0-2 in this Eastern conference finals. So clearly the home team now is in some kind of a must win situation.
LeBron James already knew in the past to get back from 1-3 and to win the series but never from 0-3. As a matter fact no one ever managed to win NBA playoffs series after being 0-3 down. And this not enough deep Cavs roster who depend too much on James, surely would not be able to save themselves from 0-3.
Of course, must win doesn't always equal win. But IMO it will = today.
Cleveland lost easily Game 1, it was 25 pts loss. But already in Game 2 they were much better and for a long time it looked how Cavs would tie the score. But, weak second half costed them.
I would not be surprised to we see again today similar scenario where Cleveland loses control late in the game (second half to be more correct) and thus failed to cover but hopefully they will win. After all that was scenario we saw many times in this playoffs. Namely, while LeBron is fresh, Cavs play well but later they are in trouble especially if there isn't significant help from other players. And in this series there wasn't too much help for James. In fact, James is without big contribution from his teammates in entire postseason except the series against Toronto Raptors.
Clearly betting on Cleveland is better in early periods (first quarter and half) than for full game. BTW Cleveland is terribly bad Against The Spread team for entire season, especially at home when being favorite.
So, I expect home win but I feel more safe in betting Cleveland quarter/halftime.
Still, this time we have these ridiculous lines. I mean full time Cavs are around -6 to -6.5 favorites while handicap at halftime is even 5.5, so almost the same.
I don't want to bet on such line although I agree Cleveland will dominate this game early on.
At the end I opted for HT FT option and I don't think there will be problem about that. So, expected lead for host at halftime and any win at the end, at least minimal.
Cleveland Cavs vs Boston Celtics prediction
|HT-FT: 1/1||Bet365||1.76||10||61-41 / 116-86 WON (+7.6 units)|