Houston Rockets vs GS Warriors
Western conference finals, game 1. It was interesting postseason, some surprising results in both conference. But at the end, pretty much expected finals, at least on the west coast, Houston Rockets against Golden State Warriors, two by far best sides on the west and probably two best in the entire league.
For this opening game I am not interested in the match winner. IMO the game can go on any side. But when it comes to totals, I have strong opinion. For me this first game will go over the offered line.
Given these two are the most powerful offenses in the NBA, the line is maybe short. But if we know Houston showed something new in this playoffs (they have started to play excellent defense), then the offered totals probably are fair.
Furthermore, GSW in previous round against New Orleans played mainly under the totals.
Still, now I expect to both, Rockets and Warriors came out fired up, offensively fired up and both to go easily 110+.
Later in the series when we see totals like in Warriors vs Pelicans series (235 pts), I would consider betting under. But now at the start and on this 223.5, over is the winning bet if you ask me.
For GSW Stef Curry was back late in previous round so now they are really dangerous offensively side. They are max loaded team with high quality shooters while Houston long ago is not anymore all about Harden. So in both rosters amazing scorers. I am not worried about over bet.
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Houston Rockets vs GS Warriors prediction
|Over 223.5||Pinnacle||1.86||8||106-119 WON (+6.88 units)|