Napoli vs Milan by Enzo

Napoli didn't have much luck in their previous game when the team visited Juventus and now lost the first position, for now at least. The game wasn't that impressive from either of sides and looked like it will end as a goalless draw, however the visiting side lost some concentration during last minutes and suffered 1:0 defeat with a goal from Zaza in 88th minute.

The team also comes from a narrow 1:0 defeat in Europa League clash away to Villarreal, since the team rested few important players and couldn't deliver better result, still remaining with chances to improve the situation and progress on Thursday evening when the second leg in Italy will be played. As for domestic league, they are now second at the table with two points less than Juventus and after their rival's setback away to Bologna, they now have a chance of recovering the first position in case of a victory tonight. Napoli should be playing in 4-3-3 formation this time, with Callejon, Higuain and Insigne as forwards. They will surely be playing here with the best possible eleven, since the team rested few players in their Europa League loss to Villarreal.

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Milan, on the other side, comes from a 2:1 home victory over Gernoa. Team from coach Mihajlovic got very strong into the game and took the lead already in fifth minute with a goal from Bacca, while Honda increased the lead in 64th minute. All the visitors were able is to reduce the deficit in second minute of additional time via Cerci.

Overall, it was deserved victory for Milan, team that slowly goes into the right form and direction and in case they continue like this, they still have a chance of qualifying for Europe directly. They are nine points off from the Champions League tickets, but are only five points below fifth placed Inter and also need a victory in order to approach closer. As said, the team improved recently, having no defeat in last nine matches, with the last one being on sixth January when they hosted Bologna. Visitors should be playing in 4-4-2 formation with Bacca and Niang as strikers. Giacomo Bonaventura and M'Baye Niang have fully recovered and are expected to play here. Juraj Kucka is only real unavailable player from their starting eleven, but Andrea Bertolacci is doing well on his position for now. Goalkeeper Diego Lopez (8/0), defender Rodrigo Ely (3/0) and midfielder Juraj Kucka (20/1) remain unavailable.

Napoli have won 10 of their last 11 home matches (Serie A).
Napoli have scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 home matches against AC Milan.
Napoli have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 6 home matches against AC Milan.

Napoli is now in a must win situation in order to exploit setback of Juventus, as they need a three-pointer in order to get the first position again. I have no doubts that the hosts will try to attack from the first time, while Milan improves more and more and surely do play better in offense than in defense. Both teams to score and over goals is my first choice.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.76 with Unibet
Result: 1-1 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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16 Comments

  1. alex says:

    it will be very a tight game.
    dont expect milan plays open game today.
    dont forger napoli will play on thursday villareal.
    the big question gabbiadini or Higuain will start line up?
    if Gabbiadini we wont see any goals until 67 min then when he would be substituted by Higuain
    could be 1 goal.
    imho 1:0 for napoli or could be 0:0.

  2. Allin says:

    Over 2.5 would be my normal pick but their last 4 matches was under 2.5 goals (3 of them under 1.5)

  3. koun-avi says:

    —————————- gabbiadini or Higuain will start line up?—————————————–

    ***in the first round napoli destroyed milan 0-4 .
    ***napoli has the chance to go 1st again after juve draw at bologna.
    ***napoli’s report is :The Argentina striker is set to come back into the starting XI to boost their goal threat having started on the bench alongside the likes of Lorenzo Insigne and Raul Albiol against Villarreal.
    **/**Mihajlovic was about to get kicked out and now milan has 1 loss in the past 12 games they are 5 points behind inter milan and they are after a europe ticket ,they have bacca on fire and niang next to him is doing great.
    In conclusion, if someone thinks that in a game like that Higuain will not start is out of his mind.
    p,s imho if Sarri leaves out Higuain,he should go to Australia and become a kangaroo farmer.

  4. alex says:

    higuain started against Villareal 67 min.

  5. axiuta says:

    2,5 and over 5,5 yelowvcards

  6. alex says:

    koun-avi
    looked at stat napoli never score many goals in periods of european league games:
    18.02.16 EUR Villarreal Napoli 1 : 0
    13.02.16 SER Juventus Napoli 1 : 0
    07.02.16 SER Napoli Carpi 1 : 0
    03.02.16 SER Lazio Napoli 0 : 2
    13.12.15 SER Napoli AS Roma 0 : 0
    10.12.15 EUR Napoli Legia 5 : 2
    26.11.15 EUR Club Brugge KV Napoli 0 : 1
    22.11.15 SER Verona Napoli 0 : 2
    08.11.15 SER Napoli Udinese 1 : 0
    05.11.15 EUR Napoli Midtjylland 5 : 0
    28.10.15 SER Napoli Palermo 2 : 0
    25.10.15 SER Chievo Napoli 0 : 1
    22.10.15 EUR Midtjylland Napoli 1 : 4

  7. Vytas says:

    Alex, you comment allways is great to find her, but now you are wrong about Higuain. He will start for sure. But its not guarantees, that Napoli will score a lot goals. its more likelly that today will be under 2,5 because Villareal is waiting after 3 days.

  8. Meo-Meo says:

    Over first 2,75. down 2,5 so i bet over 2,5 to win

  9. IHW says:

    1st half under 1.5 would be a better bet. Napoli will look to scrape the win by any way while Milan will show up to play. Too much at stake to play like a final, thus, few goals. At least the first half, in my opinion.

  10. KerlonLeRoux says:

    First we have to see their line-up. It’s obvious that they’ll play run’n’gun with those 3 in front. Milan is playing good football this season and bacca is not to be underestimated. 1 hour before kickoff we’ll have their line up and have a clear view to make hopefuly the right decision. As for now I’m picking 1st half X

  11. alex says:

    Vytas

    it depend where are priority.
    i checked attendance in napoli and very surprising results:
    games against empoli 39 986
    sassuolo 40 047
    european league games:
    legia 7 922
    Midtjylland 18000
    ???
    i think it 1 priority for higuain for the domestic league where are all $$$

  12. Paul says:

    Oh dear! Yet another Italian shitfest! :X

    Paul

  13. Vytas says:

    Yes!
    it was strange to bet under 2.5 when everybody screems that will be a lot of goals.

  14. alex says:

    It was easy predict the strategy of Milan on this game.
    It certainly current Milan is not the same team which lost 1 game to Napoli 0:4.

  15. Vytas says:

    Abate yesterday was amazing. Zapata come back fresh.
    Alex, what about today? Juve – Byern 1X or maybe even Byern no to score.

  16. Aurelio Seymore says:

    Napoli did nothing wrong last Saturday, and they were unfortunate to lose in Turin, but they looked tired and uninspired against Villarreal on Thursday, and those are words that you can never justifiably use about Maurizio Sarri’s team.

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