Maritimo vs Nacional by Neuro

Maritimo continues to be a team with no stability. One more proof is that they won away to Boavista 0:2 in a match that it looked like a draw can be enough for them according to their performance. The fact is that they also do not lose difficult, as they have just four defeats in their last 19 games in all competitions, but they also receive at least a goal, like happened to eight of their last eleven games.

Striker Dyego Sousa (18 games, 2 goals) remains unavailable due to injury, while key midfielder Fernando Ferreira (17 games) is still recovering after surgery. Good news that key left back Ruben Ferreira (22 games) and also key midfielder Danilo Pereira (23 games, 1 goal) are back to the main eleven after suspensions.

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Nacional finally won a game after six matches in all competitions. They won at home 3:2 against Gil Vicente last weekend in a match where they received a red card. Anyway, the three previous games were very difficult for them, they lost 1-0 in the second semifinal of the cup against Sporting Lisbon (2-2 in the first match at home) and disqualified. Then a defeat away to Benfica came with the score of 3:1, and a draw against Porto (1-1).

All in all, Nacional worths to be found higher in the league table just cause they have quality to their ranks. With a victory tonight they will be just three points from the sixth position, which is giving a ticket to the next Europa League. Their defense is not the best, as they received at least a goal in ten of their last thirteen games. Good news for Nacional as left winger Willyan (19 games, 1 goal) and defender Joao Aurelio (captain, 26 games) are both back to the main eleven after injuries, and that right winger Luis Aurelio (12 games, 2 goals) and attacking midfielder Saleh Gomaa (20 games, 1 goal) are back after suspensions. Key defender Zainadine Junior (27 games) is suspended and attacking midfielder Edgar Abreu (8 games, 1 goal) is injured, both will miss the game.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Nacional's last 9 away games.
Nacional have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 away matches.

This is a Madeira derby and most of the times there are many goals traditionally. The odds available represents value for me and I will take the risk.

Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @2.28 with Pinnacle
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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