Manchester City vs Arsenal by Luke

After a run of negative results, two defeats in Premier League and a draw in Champions League, Manchester City managed to bounce back to winning ways with a 2:0 home victory over Watford last Wednesday evening.

Citizens completely deserved the victory dominating from the first minute and having much more of the ball possession, as they scored a goal in each halftime. Zabaleta opened up the visiting team with a goal in 33rd minute, while Silva sealed the victory in 86th minute. City is now at fourth position, being seven points below leaders from Chelsea, but now only having a point less than second and third placed Liverpool and Arsenal.

Citizens should be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Iheanacho as central striker, plus offensive midfielders Silva, Bruyne and Sterling behind him. Central midfielder Ilkay Gundogan (10/3) suffered injury during the midweek and won't be playing here, as well as central defender Vincent Kompany (3/0). Forward Sergio Aguero (12/10) is suspended for this one, as well as defensive midfielder Fernandinho (14/1). Midfielder Fabian Delph (2/0) remains out due lack of fitness.

Arsenal, on the other side, comes from a 2:1 defeat away to Everton on Tuesday evening, even though the Gunners were the first one to take the lead, it was in 20th minute with a goal from Sanchez. They continued being a team with more ball possession, however the home team looked very efficient in attack.

Coleman leveled up the result in 44th minute and even though the visitors were dangerous in the repetition and were searching for the second goal, home team managed with kick and rush football to get the winning goal via Williams in 86th minute. This defeat broke a streak of three victories and Arsenal is now six points below first placed Chelsea and needs a victory here actually in order to stay anywhere close to the title race.

Visitors from London are set to play in 4-2-3-1 formation as well, with Sanchez as their main striker, plus offensive midfielders Walcott, Ozil and Iwobi. Offensive midfielder Aaron Ramsey remains doubtful, while injured are midfielder Santi Cazorla (8/2), right full back Mathieu Debuchy (1/0) and central defender Shkodran Mustafi (12/0). Yaya Sanogo, Per Mertesacker and Danny Welbeck remain injured from the start of the season.

  • Man City have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Arsenal.

Neither of the teams actually can afford to defend here and stay behind the ball, while they both have plenty of quality in attack. Citizens should only be more and more improving, while Arsenal remains great on counters when needed, but not with that reliable defense. Over seems so likely to me.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals & Both teams to score @ 1.90 with Bet365
Result: 2-1 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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