Lugano vs St Gallen by Gustav

Lugano suffered actually expected loss last weekend, as the team visited Sion and stood defeated with a 2:0 result. Hosts entered the game better and took the lead in thirteenth minute via an own goal, but the real chance for the visitors came in 44th minute, when Sion stood playing with a man less.

Their defender Taravel got red carded, but the players of Lugano didn't manage to exploit that fact in the second half. They indeed had much more of the ball possession, but were quite slow with building the play, while the home team sealed the victory from a penalty kick in 89th minute taken by Konate - a bit against the flow of the match. Lugano is now remaining at fourth position, having a point more than fifth placed Luzern and needs a victory here in order to keep the chances high of ending up in Europa League qualifiers.

Left back Goran Jozinovic (18/0) is sidelined with injury, same as striker Lorenzo Rosseti (11/4). Offensive midfielder/forward Antonini Culina (no performance so far) continues to be suspended.

St Gallen improved well in previous two rounds and it could be said that their improvement came when it was needed the most as they now stand safe at the table, having two consecutive victories and eleven points more than tenth and relegating placed Vaduz with four more rounds to be played.

In the most recent game, St Gallen managed to get a victory at home against Vaduz 2:0, having one of the most comfortable matches in previous few months. They took the lead in 28th minute with a goal from Haggui, continued being better for all ninety minutes and sealed it in 78th minute when Barnetta took the penalty kick. It was fully deserved victory and could have been even with bigger margin. Right defender Silvan Hefti (29/0) remains sidelined with injury.

Lugano is a favorite here and might take the victory, but I don't see this match being as open minded as the odds suggest at the moment. St Gallen have been really good in defense in last two matches and I see this game being as close as possible, probably being decided with one goal. Odds have plenty of value, in my eyes at least.

Bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.29 with Marathonbet
Result: 3-2 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+1 -2


  1. Hookah says:

    Nice review als going thru your records, since 2016, you never lost an under prediction, so this game is like christmas time Lol…..Will play this. Gud Luck

  2. LUL says:

    @hookah,yeah but.. i mean look at his stats, he writes and a lot of “editors” writes deep 300+ words analysis and they all sitting in negative profit so… i dont know, how can you analyze 300+ words and still lose more that 50% of your picks, its just cant be this way, something is wrong. I wouldn`t be surprised if they work for bookies.

  3. Pro says:

    @Hookah, there was only 1 under bet since 2016 LOL

  4. Hookah says:

    @Lul that’s how u choose to see it. I see different, words don’t necessarily translate into action, I guess talk is cheap, and he isn’t mizing them. Numbers don’t lie tho, and yo I said the under picks not his entire collection.

    @Pro there was more than one in 2016, Monaco levekusen, herta Berlin and Northern Ireland. Check well.

  5. Polter says:

    Just apply one simple plan, play against the worst editors’ picks and make money, period.

  6. OS. says:

    Hertha BSC Berlin -with H. Herta is a german sausage company ,)

  7. Hookah says:


  8. Magda says:

    Its true

  9. Moniaruth Sameer says:

    I think Lugano will thrash luzern over 3

  10. Hookah says:

    He thinks other wise.. Let’s wait nd see then.

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