Leverkusen vs Koln by Gustav

Leverkusen comes from two really good performances since the team managed to walk away with impressive 5:1 victory in Bundesliga last weekend away to Gladbach in a game where they maybe looked like slight favorites, but nobody expected them to celebrate a four goals victory in the end.

However, the game didn't start that well for Leverkusen, since the hosts took the lead in seventh minute via Johnson, but Leverkusen started playing way more concrete in the second halftime and soon have reverted the scoreline, celebrating the victory with goals from Bender, Bailey, Brandt, Volland and Pohjanpalo, while the hosts had also more of the ball possession but stood hopeless on the field. The side is now at ninth position having three points less than Europa League placed Hannover and still with a lot of prove further on. During the midweek they had a 4:1 victory over Union Berlin in the Cup game using rotated squad.

Leverkusen could be playing in 4-4-2 formation with Havertz and Alario as forwards. Right back Tin Jedvaj remains sidelined without performing so far, while doutbful are central defender Sven Bender (9/1) and striker Kevin Volland (9/5).

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Koln continued with poor results in Bundesliga, as the side comes from only a point taken in front of own fans in a goalless game against Werder Bremen last weekend. It must be said that once again they looked solid, had much more chances created but simply the goal never came even though they did deserved it.

In my oppinion, it's just a matter of time when their attack will start working, while the side did improve during the midweek when they won away against Hertha Berlin in the Cup game with a 3:1 result. Again, they had decent number of chances and concrete ones, while the attack finally showed signs of improvement. As for the league, they stand at the rock bottom position with just two points earned so far and surely aren't going for a draw here since it doesn't change much to them.

Guests are set to play in 4-4-2 formation with Guirassy and Osako as their most offensive players. Newly signed forward Claudio Pizarro (2/0) is unlikely to return for this one. Midfielders Matthias Lehmann (8/0) and marcel Risse (4/0) also have little chances to get involved, while surely injured remain forward Jhon Cordoba (7/0), defensive midfielder Jonas Hector (3/0) and midfielder Marco Hoger (5/0).

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of Leverkusen's last 11 games (Bundesliga).
  • Leverkusen have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 5 home matches against FC Cologne.

Koln didn't get right results in Bundesliga so far, but the side didn't disappoint in their matches - on contrary - usually they were creating chances but the final effort was far away from concrete and usually missing plenty of chances in their matches. Their attack finally started working in the Cup game against Hertha and I expect them to be more concrete in offense from now on - at least scoring a goal here since they'll surely create decent number of chances while Leverkusen anyway remains strong favorite for this one.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score @ 1.95 with Bet365
Result: 2-1 (won)
+20 -6

1 Comment

  1. Al says:

    @Gustav
    What is your opinion about Home -1.25 ?

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