Leverkusen vs Hertha by Gustav
After two victories in a row, away to Hoffenheim and in front of own fans against Mainz, players of Leverkusen didn't manage to get third in a row and stood with a goalless draw game last Saturday afternoon when they visited Freiburg.
They had more of the ball possession, however players of Freiburg looked more concrete with the ball to their feet, especially in the first halftime when they probably even deserved to take the lead, while Leverkusen looked slightly better in second, however without scoreline change.
Overall, it was probably a fair outcome, as Leverkusen now stands at third position with three points less than second placed Leipzig and needs a victory here in order to keep the chances of ending second high.
During the midweek, the side progressed to the semi-finals of the DFB Pokal Cup with a 4:2 victory at home over Werder Bremen after extra-time played. Midfielder Lars Bender (15/2) should be only sure absentee due injury for the home team, while midfielders Marlon Frey and Julian Bamugartlinger both remain doubtful for now.
Hertha is simply way too unstable this season, not being able to repeat good performances in consecutive matches being far below the positions that lead to Europe next season, something that was their primary target at the start of this season.
Most recent game they played previous weekend, ended as a 1:1 home draw against Hoffenheim as the visiting side looked better in the first halftime and deserved the lead via penalty kick taken by Kramaric in 38th minute, while Hertha reacted better in second and leveled up result via Kalou in 58th minute. Overall, visitors were bit better and probably deserved something, but the results change never came.
The side now stands at eleventh position only, with seven points more than play-out placed Mainz and can only benefit from a positive result here since they have now four matches without a victory run.
Guests have offensive midfielder Ondrej Duda (9/1) and central back Karim Rekik (16/2) injured for this clash plus couple of more that never played this season, while doubtful are goalkeeper Rune Jarstein and right back Mitchell Weiser.
- Leverkusen have seen over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 16 home matches against Hertha Berlin.
Mutual matches of these two usually end up with goals and knowing that Hertha has very little to lose here, I expect the visiting side also to try being as offensive as possible and not just to wait for the things to happen. Leverkusen is a favorite here, but my first betting choice will be over goals since defensive lineup of the home team remains far away from a reliable one.