Jonkoping vs Kalmar by Sweem
These are two teams who have been playing more desperate lately due to their situations in the standings. Not to mention, this is also one of the smaller and more unknown derbies in Swedish football.
Kalmar have played very well since their familiar coach Nanne Bergstrand took over the team again. He knows this squad inside and out and have a positive impact on the players. He took control of the team when they were in a tough spot in the standings, but Kalmar have now reached the safe zone with solid margin, although it is not yet mathematically secured. They only have 2 losses in their last 13 matches in Allsvenskan, which is impressive, and the losses came versus Malmo (6-0) and Orebro (1-0). Other than these two negative results, Kalmar have been one of the strongest teams in recent games. Thereby, they enter this derby with a good feeling and in great harmony.
The visitors have had injury problems for a long time, with attacking midfielder Mahmoud Eid (15/0), and central midfielder Rasmus Elm (3/0) gone for a long time. There are no significant absentees at this stage for Kalmar which are new.
Jonkoping enters this game on totally different conditions. There is not much to analyze on their side, because the purpose is very straightforward and clear - a victory is all that matters. A draw, or a loss would be one step closer to relegation. That being said, there is only once approach to expect from the hosts this time, which is to attack and get the first goal in this match.
In fact, Jonkoping have shown great offensive qualities in their recent home games, at their charming stadium. 2-2 against Sundsvall was not excellent, but the 3-1 victory against Sirius was more impressive. The scores indicates that ther desperate approach pays off, but the defense has also suffered a lot of goals lately. They have conceded 9 goals in the last 5 home matches (almost conceding 2 goals per home game) and surely, a team like Kalmar who are going well at the moment, can find a way to find the net once or a couple of times.
The headline of this match is exactly what Jonkoping are stating: - "Each game is like a final for us".
Luckily for the hosts, they have an injury-free squad to field for this super important encounter.
More than ever, the first goal in this match feels very cruical, as it will set the tone for the remainder of the match. This might not be the best quality of football that Sweden can offer the public, but it is currently one of the few matches that matters for the standings, which makes it extra interesting to follow. The goal market is what is interesting here - For Jonkoping, there have been a goal in both nets in 14 out of the last 20 occasions, and for Kalmar it has been the case in 12 of the last 20 matches. I see great chances in both teams to score in this game. Both Jonkoping and Kalmar are reliable in offense, and defensively Jonkoping have shown a long tendency in conceding goals. The price is solid and worth a shot.