Guimaraes vs Portimonense by Jimeno

Guimaraes had their last Primeira game played on 1st October, when the side visited Belenenses and stood defeated with narrow 1:0 result. Only goal was scored back in 26th minute via Tandjigora, but must be said that the match was pretty much equal one and the final result could have been way more different on some other day.

After this defeat, Guimaraes stands at eleventh position already with six points less than Europa League placed Maritimo, at the same time having four points more than relegating duo. They have suffered narrow defeat away to Marseille in Europa League last Thursday evening with a 2:1 result, playing actually quite well during the match even though they were limited to a passive role, but now having just a point out of first three rounds and surely with weak chances to progress further.

Central defender Pedrao (7/0) is still injured, while also out remain forward Paolo Hurtado (7/1), goalkeeper Douglas Jesus (4/0) and striker Joao Vigario (1/0). Home team should be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Martins most likely as central striker.

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Portimonense, on the other side, managed to take a point in their previous Primeira game played also more than three weeks ago when the side welcomed Aves in a 2:2 draw. They were twice back in the scoreline, first time in 38th minute with a goal from Amilton, while they replied almost instantly before the halftime whistle via Ruben.

Visitors didn't do much, but were very concrete overall and re-gained the lead in 69th minute with a goal from Arango, while the hosts deservedly leveled up few minutes before the full time whistle via Messias, in a game where they could have easily reach all three points just in case their defensive lineup showed more stability. The side is now just above the relegation zone having a point more than three other table below them, having actually good attack this season but the problem remains at the back for them with already seventeen goals conceded.

Midfielder Tabata (4/1) is doubtful slowly recovering from injury, while still sidelined are forward Chidera Ezeh (2/0), Marcel Henrique Garcia and Inacio, duo that anyway didn't perform so far in the season. Guests will be playing in 4-3-3 formation with Wellington, Fabricio and Nakajima as forwards.

  • Vitoria de Guimaraes have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Portimonense.

Guimaraes is completely unreliable with their results so far in the season, especially with the way their defensive lineup works. However, they do remain favorites in this one, but I see players of Portimonense also being very threatening and dangerous in attack, just like they usually are. All the value lies with over goals in this one.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 with Pinnacle
Result: 3-3 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+32 -3

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