Goteborg vs Orebro by Sweem

We are midway through Allsvenskan and it is time to push the accelerator for some teams who are close to the bottom. Although both teams had higher ambitions at the start of the season, it is IFK Goteborg who have suffered the most. In a turbulent wave, there have been everything from poor results, management changes and key players leaving. This has made Goteborg look like a relegation candiate, but the truth is that they look safe for now. The guests, Orebro - is a side with potential but struggles to remain consistent in order to battle for the European spots.

In fact, Orebro are enjoying a good period in Allsvenskan at the moment with four wins out of the previous five fixtures. Their latest victory was an impressive 4-2 victory against Goteborg at home. The sides are playing again, as the season have reached the middle part, but this time Goteborg will play at home, in their first official game with a new coach.

Orebros attacking midfielder Nahir Besara (15/6) is in great form after scoring a hattrick versus Goteborg previously, but still said that he can do better. Obviously, the confidence is high. The visitors will likely play with the same successful lineup that beat Goteborg last week and make no changes to a winning concept. Alexander Axen is a coach who has been in the club for a long time (since 2014) and have experienced every opponent several times, so he knows what is waiting in an away game versus this side.

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The hosts are entering this game with a few changes. Coach Jorgen Lennartson got fired after the 4-2 loss against todays opponents, and instead assistant coach Alf Westerberg will take over as interim solution.

- "I will not change the game plan. We just need to go back to basics, and make sure we have a flawless defense" Mr Westerberg said about his new role.

His first action was to send the central defender (team captain) Mattias Bjarsmyr (14/1) to the reserves, since he is rumored to leave the club. Also midfielder Mads Albaek (11/2) has left the club for Kaiserslautern in Germany. Important to note, Albaek was their main player on the midfield and it is a big loss for Goteborg. With their captain also out of the picture, the hosts are missing leadership and the club have sent strong signals to the rest of the squad.

Goteborg have been far from their former selves, and at home they are only 1-5-0. They play a lot of close games, often draws but rarely lose, but nor do they get victories. This should suit Orebro pretty well.

Considering Goteborg are coming from a massive embarassment by conceding four goals in the first half, their priority will be to make sure it does not happen again. In other words, it is unlikely to see Goteborg going all out and try to win with large margins. They will treat the game carefully and try to adjust according to what Orebro are doing, to make sure they act correctly. While Orebro are solid - but not reliable - I think they can keep the game close and even get some points back home. Goteborg are rebuilding and refocusing. As such, I expect a careful approach rather than inspired by goals forward, which suits Orebro better out of the two sides.

Bet: Orebro +1 AH @ 1.69 with Marathonbet
Result: 2-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+39 -8


  1. urch says:

    Are you saying orebro will Win? What’s the +1 For Please?

  2. Sweem says:

    +1 AH means that:

    If Örebro wins or draws = the bet is won

    If Örebro loses with one goal margin = the bet is void (money returned)

    If Örebro loses with 2 goals or more = the bet is lost

  3. anna siow youn says:

    Are you confident orebro can win,which score you think the match can be?thanks.

  4. BigFish says:

    Gotheborg 2-1 Orebro

  5. urch says:

    In my country we don’t have that Asian handicap, should I go with straight handicap or direct win or win or Draw?

  6. GogoLuton says:

    Isaiah, I regret to say that given the fluid dynamics of player changes and new coach taking the reins at IFK Goteborg AH won’t hold. I foresee score and win for Goteborg. GL.

  7. Dude says:

    @BigFish, we need that away goal badly.

  8. Dude says:

    There it is, nice…

  9. Dude says:

    @Sweem, you never told us that you are a referee also:) great job.

  10. Sweem says:

    It was dramatic, but a draw feels fair, despite Orebro seeing the better play and scoring chances.

    – Sweem

  11. anna siow youn says:

    Another good result sweem,all the best

  12. nassboi says:

    Sweem you’ve made my day, funny enough you’ve paid alllllllll my bills.

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