Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna

Two teams who wish their seasons were better will release their frustrations at Gamla Ullevi stadium in Gothenburg. IFK Goteborg started the season in a promising fashion with new head coach Poya Asbaghi. The club picked up victories away against Malmo and home against Dalkurd. However, it has been an inconsistent performing team who have a tendency to let leads slip of their hands.

They let many last minute goals in which has been costly point wise, and this became evident in their previous match with Sirus when a 0-2 lead vanished and eventually lost 3-2 after conceding two penalties. The light in the dark is that 21 year old attacker Giorgi Kharaishvili (11/3) has scored goals in two straight matches and is the player who is firing the most shots in entire Allsvenskan this season.

It is particularly important that other players start to produce goals since IFK Goteborg lost key players in central midfielder Mix Diskerud (12/2) and captain Sebastian Eriksson (11/0). Also, main goalkeeper Pontus Dahlberg left for Watford in Premier League. It is obviously a tough situation but despite the losses, they have found ways to score goals. The problem has been to maintain leads.

Brommapojkarna are new to Allsvenskan this season and it seems like the step has been too huge. They sit on 15th place with only nine goals scored. The big problem has been their away record, which is 0-0-7. Most recently they suffered a big 5-1 defeat against AIK and a relegation battle looks more likely each fixture. The coach is Portuguese, Luis Pimenta. He is 36 years old, with experience from coaching in Norway.

The player material is mostly very young, and his philosophy is to play with possession. It can seem very naive at times as it requires players who are very superior technically. Their top scorer is surprisingly right back Fritiof Bjorken (14/2) together with forward Bajram Ajeti (8/2), however, the latter has not been part of the squad lately and publicly complained about getting no playing time. It is a squad too thin for this competition even though they play an attractive looking football but far from efficient.

The sides met in a friendly before the season four months ago, where IFK Goteborg clinched a 3-0 victory. Brommapojkarna have a disastrous 0-0-7 away record with 4-22 in goal difference. This means that they concede 3.14 goals per away match in average. Goteborg are no goal scoring machines but clearly this is a pleasant opponent to get things going for the hosts.

The hosts have scored in six consecutive matches across all competitions and desperately need a victory to gain confidence and a calm environment. Despite the lack of three point victories, Goteborg will not have a better opportunity than this and they need to take it to avoid chaos within their organization. For those reasons, I expect the hosts to take advantage of home field and the fact that Brommapojkarna are extremely poor travelers.

Intertops

Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna prediction

Goteborg -1 Asian handicap @ 1.85 with Pinnacle

Result: 3-0 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+58 -3

2 Comments

  1. Shibby says:

    Fingers crossed Sweem

  2. Jerrylad says:

    Accurate analysis….. more midfield games, hence more fouls

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