Freiburg vs Hamburger by Gustav

Freiburg suffered two defeats away from home so far, against Hertha and Koln last weekend, winning at home over Glabdach in the mean time, against quite a solid team and with a really convincing appearance. They once again showed that the team will base their Bundesliga success and results at matches played in front of own fans, where they perform much better for years now.

In the most recent game, they suffered 3:0 defeat on the road against Koln, without actually having a chance to walk away with something more. Hosts from Koln opened up the game much better and took the 3:0 lead already at the halftime thanks to goals from Modeste (twice) and Bittencourt, while the visitors from Freibrug had much more of the ball possession overall and more chances created, but the goal simply never came, while the hosts were deadly efficient against more active and attacking side. After this defeat, Freiburg stood in the second part of the table, having two points more than play-out placed Hamburger and needs to win here in order to detach themselves further away from the danger zone.

Freiburg should be set to play in 4-4-2 formation with Philipp and Niederlechner as strikers. Defender Marc-Oliver Kempf is long term absentee without playing a minute this season, while the hosts also can't count at defenders Marc Tottejon, Lukas Kubler, Jonas Fohrenbach and offensive Havard Nielsen (all four without performance so far in the season as well). Having that in mind, Aleksandar Ignjovski will probably be at the spot of right full back.

Hamburger, on the other side, showed very little positive signs so far in the season, as the team has earned only one point so far after three rounds, being able to score only twice and conceded eight goals. They took a point in a season opening game against Ingolstadt, while the team couldn't do much more in order to stay undefeated in next two rounds, away to Leverkusen and at home against newly promoted RB Leipzig.

It was almost humiliating defeat against RB Leipzig last Saturday evening, as the team had more of the ball possession, but weren't able to do anything more concrete in attack, while the visitors looked dangerous every time they had the ball to their feet. They opened up the scoreline from a penalty kick taken by Forsberg in 66th minute and the defensive lineup of HSV was completely vulnerable from that moment on, conceding three more in last twenty minutes of the match (twice from Werner and once from Selke). Atmosphere in their locker room is far away from a positive one and the team needs a positive outcome badly in order to restore anything positive around the club.

Visitors from Hamburger should be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Wood as number nine and Muller, Kostic and Gregoritsch as offensive midfielders. Douglas Santos should get another chance at the position of left full back. Albin Akdal is nearing his full fitness and should be employed in the central part of midfield. Central defender Johan Djorou is doubtful, while injured remains right full back Dennis Diekmeier (1/0).

  • Freiburg have seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Hamburg in all competitions.

Freiburg is obviously a team that needs to develop and learn, but even so, they look stronger and more as a unit than their visitors tonight. HSV comes from a disappointing start of the season with really terrible results and I don't see them improving so quickly. Easy or hard, Freibrug should be able to complete a victory here and in my eyes, all the value is with them.

Bet: Freiburg Wins @ 2.30 with Bet365
Result: 1-0 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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  1. VerSus says:

    over 2,5 Goal

  2. Laszlo says:

    good pick

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