Astana vs Dynamo Kiev
Astana will host Dynamo Kiev in the 5th round of group K in Europa League.
Almost everything looks clear in this group where also take part Rennes and Jablonec. Dynamo Kiev and Astana are the leaders with 8 points after 2 draws and 2 wins, while Jablonec and Rennes are much behind them with 2 and 3 points. The odds for a draw in this game between Astana and Dynamo dropped a lot, but that doesn't mean it will happen easily. I think both teams will be looking for the win and the 1st place in the group. If this game finishes as a draw and Rennes somehow beat Jablonec tonight, Astana can be surprised very badly in the last round as visitors against Rennes. It's unlikely to happen after Astana beat Rennes at home with 2:0, but in that game Rennes played at good level, created chances and had more possession, so it's not excluded to see the big surprise happening if Rennes saved their chances tonight for progression.
I decided to stay away from the draw here, although it looks very tempting as an option, so I look for different picks and I think BTTS is the best in this game. Astana have two wins at home with 2:0 against Rennes and 2:1 against Jablonec, but tonight they will face even better opponent. On the other side Dynamo made 2:2 as visitors against Jablonec and 1:2 win against Rennes, so they is no chance this team to be underestimated. Dynamo have BTTS in every single of their group matches. Also the first game between them in Kiev finished 2:2.
The players have been lucky, because the weather in Astana will be almost good- it's a little bit more windy, but not that cold. Since tomorrow it will become freezing cold in Astana with temp under -10 degrees during the day reaching even -20 degrees, so the weather will not be such a big factor tonight. I am looking for goals here, so that's important part which has to be checked, although both teams know perfectly well how to play in harsh conditions.
Astana will be without Henrique(yellow cards), while Dynamo will miss Buyalskyy, while Besiedin, Burda and Pivaric are doubtful.
I am going with BTTS in this game. Maybe it will finish as a draw and I will miss even bigger odds, but will play a little bit safer here. Dynamo know how to used their chances, I watch this team very often, while Astana are hosts and almost everytime they succeed to score at home, so it looks like a reasonable pick.
Astana vs Dynamo Kiev prediction
|BTTS-Yes||Bet365||1.95||10||0-1 LOST (-10 units)|