Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ludogorets
Torpedo Kutaisi host Ludogorets in the 1st leg in Georgia.
Torpedo Kutaisi played against three opponents during this season. Although they beat Sheriff from Moldova in CL qualifications(2:1), they were eliminated 3:0 in the 2nd leg and continued in Europa League. There they eliminated two opponents-Vikingur Gota(7:0) and Kukesi(5:4 on aggregate) and now it's time for the biggest challenge before the groups- Ludogorets Razgrad.
I really can't understand why people, especially bookies, underestimate Torpedo so much. I watched their game in Georgia against Kukesi and they impressed me a lot, because their team is well organized, although their defense is not the best one. They are weak as visitors and I expect home win for Ludogorets, maybe with more than a goal difference, but in Georgia I think Ludogorets will face a lot of troubles.Infact Torpedo earned three wins at home till now and they will try their best to continue with the good performances on home soil. Torpedo don't have any problems with injured or suspended players.
Ludogorets under Autuori still didn't impressed me with good performances. He is a coach, who is absolutely okay, if his team wins a match with 1:0 and such games are very typical for him since he came in the club. After the elimination by Videoton, Ludogorets continued in EL and eliminated Zrinjski 2:1 on aggregate but still didn't impressed anyone with their display on the pitch. The team missed so many chances, especially in Bosnia to decide the 2nd leg after leading 0:1. In the end GK mistake gave the chance for the hosts to equalize for the final result 1:1. They earned some positive results in the domestic league in the last rounds. During the weekend they succeeded to beat maybe one of the main pretenders for the title CSKA at home 1:0, so they will have more confidence before the game in Georgia. Stoyanov(GK) is out for the visitors together with Sasha(MF) and Anicet(MF). Renan(GK) is also a doubt, so Jorge Broun is expected to be on the sheet today.
You don't have to underestimate Torpedo's excellent results at home, they were not made on occasion. One of them is against a team in not such a good form- Sheriff from Moldova, but still it's against a team with stable results in Europe in the recent years like Ludogorets. The Bulgarian champions are still not in form, they have problems with scoring goals and that's the reason they almost for sure will sign with a striker from Brazil in the next days beating Santos for his signature. They also signed with South Africa's national player who is expected to give more options in the midfield area.
The reason for my pick here(draw) is more than simple and it's not made only because I have the feeling it will finish without a winner. Ludogorets don't make almost any changes in Europe games and every single of their opponents is well prepared what to expect by them. With the new coach goals are hardly expected in their matches, because it's obvious he strenghtened the defense, but the attacking power decreased a lot. Draws are very typical for Ludogorets, when they play as guests against teams form the same level as them or a little bit weaker. This season with Autuori they beat Crusaders, but the North Irish team was too weak to give any opposition to Ludogorets. Then if it wasn't the red card in Hungary, I am almost 100% sure it would finish as a draw in the regular time. In the last round there wasn't a winner in Bosnia, so I think we will see similar to this result. Ludogorets are the better team in the tie, but I expect problems for the team in Georgia. It's never easy to beat opponents from this European area and when we add the fact Ludogorets have problems in the final third and also strenghten the defense, I don't expect too many goals today. 1:1 or even 0:0 are the most expected resuts for me here!
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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ludogorets prediction
|Draw||Pinnacle||4.09||6||0-1 LOST (-6 units)|