La Fiorita vs Spartaks
La Fiorita host Spartaks Jurmala in the 2nd leg of their tie. The match will be played at Stadio Tullo Morgagni in Forli, which is northern from San Marino. The positive things are that the stadium is much bigger with capacity for about 3500 people and it's a natural grass stadium. I doubt La Fiorita will have much supporters today and it also relies to Jurmala.
First match between these two clubs finished 6:0 for Jurmala and the difference between them was obvious. Infact Spartaks Jurmala even didn't push themselves more than 60-70% during the whole game, but still succeeded to score three times in both halves. The possession was not so much in Jurmala's favour-55:45%, but almost every single of their shots on target turned into a goal. Three of the goals were with shots from more than 20 meters distance, so that's really good for nowadays tip, because even in training mood, Jurmala can score one or two goals from distance for sure. Their opponent La Fiorita were absolutely harmless in the 1st leg with 0 chances for a goal and I doubt something will drastically change today.
Here will try to write the main reasons for the pick:
1.One of the biggest reasons for the tip is the fact San Marino's team is not in competitive form, while their Latvian opponent is, although they are sitting in the 4th position, very close to the 2nd placed Ventspils.
2.Venspils pushed a team in form like Crvena Zvezda in the previous round close to their limits- first game in Latvia finished 0:0, while in Serbia it was 0:0 after almost 80 minutes, but in the last part of the match, Zvezda showed their class and finally broke their opponent for 2:0 final result. It's just impossible to make comparison between La Fiorita and Crvena Zvezda and I doubt Jurmala will go in Italy just for fun, they know they have to beat one of the weakest sides in the whole Europe again. Only Andorrian teams are on their amateur level.
3.La Fiorita- in 14 games in EL or CL qualifications since 2012/13 till this 2nd leg, La Fiorita are with GOAL DIFFERENCE 1:44 with only one goalless draw at home against Linfield last season. Their only goal was against Vaduz, when they lost 5:1 away from home. La Fiorita even have one tie against Latvian opponent in 2012/13, when they lost twice against Metalurgs- 0:2 at home and 0:4 in Latvia.
The quality is with Jurmala, their coach is from Russia and I am sure he will motivate his team for another win. They are also in competitive form, last season they even got 1:1 draw away from home in Astana. La Fiorita have only one goal in 14 Europe competition games, combined with 1 draw and 13 losses against weaker sides than Jurmala.
If Jurmala don't score themselves an own goal or concede a penalty, this will be another comfortable win for today's guests, maybe not with such tremendious final score, but still a win with clean sheet. The difference between them is just huge.
La Fiorita vs Spartaks prediction
|Spartaks&BTTS-NO||Bet365||2.00||10||0-3 WON (+10 units)|