Deportivo vs Valencia by Jimeno

After two consecutive defeats before the holiday's break, against Barcelona away from home and Celta Vigo in front of own fans, players of Deportivo managed to pull out a point in a 1:1 draw away from home last weekend against Villarreal.

However, it must be said that home team looked generally better and maybe deserved more in a game that could have definitely be more open one. Hosts deservedly took the lead in 30th minute via Unal and looked bit better, but the visitors risked more towards the end and it paid off to them - via equalizer from Andone in 84th minute.

There was not enough time for the players of Villarreal to reply back, while Deportivo now stands at seventeenth position with just a point more than relegating placed Alaves and need to improve soon in order to avoid further relegation trouble and battle.

Hosts should be playing in 4-3-3 formation with Lopez and Gil on the wings, plus Andone as central striker most likely. Defender Fabian Schar returns from a ban and should be back in the starting eleven, while Adrian Lopez (offensive midfielder) has a knock and his performance remains doubtful. Offensive midfielder Fede Cartabia (14/2) is injured.

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Valencia, on the other side, didn't have an easy task in front of own fans against Girona last weekend, even though the odds were setting them as huge favorites, however the hosts only managed to pull out a 2:1 victory in the end.

The game started in a wrong way for them, as the guests took the lead in eight minute via Portu, with the home team being better till the end in overall very open game. They level up the result in 27th minute via an own goal, while Parejo brought them into the lead from the penalty kick in 48th minute.

Hosts remained better, but must be said that the final result could have been different on some other day. During the midweek, they easily won 4:0 at home against Las Palmas using a bit rotated squad in Copa del Rey game, as the side progressed further with 5:1 aggregate result.

As for the league, they stand at third position with eight points more than fifth and out of Champions League placed Sevilla and surely looking to continue with positive results.

Guests are set to play in 4-4-2 formation with Zaza and Moreno as forwards. Offensive midfielder Andreas Pereira (16/1) and defensive midfielder Geoffrey Kondogbia (16/3) are suspended for this one. Injured are central back Jeison Murillo (8/0) and midfielder Carlos Soler (15/1). On the bright side, Simone Zaza and Martin Montoya are both returning after bans.

  • Valencia are undefeated in 11 of their last 12 matches against Deportivo.

Valencia have been far more stable side during the season so far in LaLiga. Moreover, their recent performances remind that some of the individuals that weren't in first plan seem also to be in-form and having that in mind, it looks like the roster is really filled with decent quality.

Deportivo is far away from a naive side, but the impression is that the hosts concede goals way to easy - something that Valencia surely knows how to exploit. Value is with the away team.

Bet: Valencia -0.25 Asian handicap @ 2.03 with Pinnacle
Result: 1-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+44 -5

2 Comments

  1. Mk Junior Jr says:

    What is the mean of the said tip

  2. innn says:

    these are fancy ways of picking valencia to win. valencia starts with quarter goal ahead. drawing is no option. if it draws gets half money back.
    this is a stupid bet and I will explain: valencia could be the team on the rise or hot at the moment, deportivo seems condemned like always to relegation but that makes it dangerous to bet against. besides valencia is the team that “helped” them not long ago to relegate. so there is no love lost between these. expect a hell of a match not for coruna but for valencia.
    be wise think twice if you want to bet on this or do it +0.25 on hosts

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