Samtredia vs Qarabag

Samtredia got completely outplayed last Tuesday evening when the team visited champions of Azerbaijan Qarabag and stood defeated with a 5:0 result. It was obvious from the first moment that the hosts are way more quality side as they took over the initiative and it was really difficult for the guests to stay competitive during the match.

They conceded three goals already in the first halftime, needs to be said two goals were from penalty kicks, however were deserved and it was difficult for the visiting side to mask their defensive gaps and stay with a decent result overall. They conceded twice more in last ten minutes of the match, as it was obvious also that the home team was much more ready for this game and a start of the new season overall. Their current season is under way, with the team being third at the table, with ten points less than leaders from Dinamo Tbilisi and four less than second placed Torpedo Kutaisi.

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Qarabag didn't look that well during the preparation period when the team suffered four defeats against European sides (Akhmat Grozny, CSKA Sofia, Dynamo Moscow and Brondby), losing twice with five goals conceded (to Brondby and CSKA Sofia), however the side improved when it was needed the most and reacted with a 5:0 victory at home over Georgian champions.

They entered the game very strongly and the opponent was struggling at the back, as they scored three inside the first halftime, via Izmailov and two from Ndlovu, while they stopped pressing the opponent a bit, but still scored twice in last ten minutes, via Guerrier and Michel. They won the domestic title in style having ten points more than second placed Gabala, but also took the Cup competition with the 2:0 result against the same opponent, surely wanting to reach the group stage of any of European competitions this Summer.

Samtredia will surely want to improve the overall image a bit, however I don't see that coming. Qarabag showed a lot more quality in the first leg, but also that they are way more ready for the new season and after all despite the fact that Georgian league is under way, but also that they are simply better individually. Quality difference is so obvious and the guests should get another victory, their chances are surely above 50%.

Bet: Qarabag Wins @ 2.01 with Pinnacle
Result: 0-1 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+44 -4


  1. anna siow youn says:

    Isaiah you think it will be a large score again.the home team can score today?thanks

  2. Larry says:

    You and sweems are doing quite great I must say. Congrats mahn!

  3. Sweem says:

    Well done mate, Isaiah. Tremendous odds considering the difference in first leg. A steal! ;)

  4. Josh says:

    Thanks buddy, great analysis

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