Dortmund vs Real Madrid

Dortmund seems to be on a nice run now, as the team celebrated their fourth consecutive victory in all competitions last Friday night, when the team managed to take all three points at home against Freiburg following 3:1 victory. They were better during the first halftime, but only managed to take the lead in last moments of it with a goal from Aubameyang, while the visitors responded with a bit more open game in the repetition.

They doubled up the lead ten minutes into the second halftime via Piszczek, while Philipp reduced their lead in 60th. Guests even had some further chances, but the hosts sealed their victory in last moments of the game via Guerreiro. It was their third consecutive victory after surprising defeat to Leipzig, as the team remains second at the table, having three points less than leaders and biggest favorites for the title Bayern Munich. As for the Champions League, they won over Legia 6:0 on the road in first round, showing huge class difference and most probably this group will be two horses race for the first position, between them and team from Madrid.

Dortmund should be playing in 4-1-4-1 formation with Aubameyang as central striker, while Dembele, Guerreiro, Castro and Pulisic should be lined in offensive midfielders line. Central defender Marc Bartra (3/0) is set to miss out again, while the hosts also continue to miss central defender Neven Subotic, full back Erik Durm, offensive Marco Reus and defensive Sven Bender, all four without performing so far in the season. Offensive midfielder Andre Schurrle will probably lack fitness in order to start here, but might be given some playing time later on.

Real Madrid, on the other side, suffered another setback last weekend as the team visited Las Palmas and failed to obtain all three points in a 2:2 draw, as the team didn't look like themselves for the most of the time. They were leading twice however, with goals from Asensio and Benzema, but the hosts managed to respond both times, via Tanausu and Araujo five minutes before the end, leaving no time for players of Real to respond further.

As said it was their second consecutive setback, since the team previously had only a 1:1 draw against Villarreal during previous midweek at home, but thanks to other results, they remain first at the table, however now with only a point more than second placed Barcelona and two points more than three other followers. As for the Champions League, they won over Sporting 2:1 at home in the group opening round, again suffering during the match and only being able to revert the scoreline in last five minutes of the game with goals from Morata and Ronaldo.

Visitors from Madrid are set to play in 4-3-3 formation, most likely with Bale and Ronaldo on the wings, plus Benzema as central striker. Keylor Navas was between the posts against Las Palmas last weekend and he should continue here. Defensive midfielder Casemiro (3/0) broke his leg against Espanyol and will be out for a few more weeks. Left back Marcelo (4/0) is also sidelined for couple of more weeks, while other left back, Fabio Coentrao remains long term absentee from the start of the season, meaning that Nacho should start at the full back position.

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Borussia Dortmund's last 3 games (Champions League).
  • Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 home matches against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid isn't in a great shape ahead of this important game and it's something the Germans needs to exploit here. Dortmund won convincing in the first round against Polish side Legia and can enter this game a bit more relaxed and with attacking approach. It's something I believe that will open up the game and it wouldn't surprise me if we see both teams scoring here twice at least.

Bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.33 with Unibet
Result: 2-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+1 -1


  1. Guardiolix says:

    I agree analysis , i dont agree the bet. Dortmund is home in good shape and has very good attackers. i dont think big names of Real will impress them and they will try to secure 3 points here before going to Madrid.
    Dortmund win h-1 ior win & over 2.5 will be the best value.

  2. Guardiolix says:

    u can wait the line up for this bet. if Kroos is the center midfield (sub Casemiro) there will be big defending issue for Real.

  3. ezra says:

    What about BTTS & over 2.5?

  4. Guardiolix says:

    Dortmund & GoalGoal @ 3.75

  5. Guardiolix says:

    finally BVB need to learn

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