Shakhtar vs Lyon (By: Isaiah)

Shakhtar survived and surprised a lot in the fifth round when the side won away to Hoffenheim with a 2:3 result and kept he chances of progressing further. They now need nothing but a victory against Lyon even though the side collected only one win for now. As for the domestic league, they continue domination with a 3:0 win over Mariupol and are now seven points above Dynamo.

Lyon was close to achieving their second victory in the group against the Citizens and was leading twice in the previous game, but the clash ended 2:2 fairly. They now can't afford to lose while any other result would bring them the knockout phase. They are coming from a 0:2 defeat at home against Rennes, probably paying much more attention to this clash now.

The hosts miss forward Fernando (11/2), but also defender Rakitsky (11/1). Visiting side can't count at most likely at forward Cornet (9/1), while midfielders Ndombele (16/0) and Diop (6/0) both remain questionable.

I expect similarly entertaining match in Ukraine as in the previous leg between these two, but now with much more tension and nervosity in both teams. It's do or die for both and with Lyon being in a situation to be satisfied with the draw and their players being prone to getting cards, this seems like a perfect choice for this one.

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Shakhtar vs Lyon predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 4.5 cards Bet365 1.70 8 3 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Shakhtar vs Lyon betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Isaiah).
+18 -15
 
Comments (2)
Mehigh
Breakdown some numbers here. Again.
Shakhtar have 2 cards/home game percentage. Lyon have 1,5 cards/game on the road.

In total, Shakhtar have 1,8 cards cards/ game (9 cards) for all their 5 games in UCL group stage. Lyon have 1,4 cards/ game (7 cards) for all their 5 games in UCL group stage.

Kuipers, the referee, have a 4.4 cards/game in Champions League.

Personal note: I think Kuipers is the kind of referee that wants to gain early in the game respect from the players and we can see one or two cards before halftime.

Overall, I slightly believe that for 5 cards we should have an odd like 1,85 for a good value of this bet.
12/12/2018 - 14:59
Mr123
Nice. Im going with over 26.5 fouls. Shouldnt be an issue here
12/12/2018 - 16:19
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