Bayern Munich vs Benfica (By: Stanioooo)
Bayern Munich will host Benfica in the 5th round of CL at Allianz Arena.
First the situation in group E:
1.Bayern Munich- 10 points 2.Ajax- 8 points 3.Benfica- 4points 4.AEK- 0 points.
The 5th in the German Bundesliga Bayern Munich will face the 4th in Portugal Benfica. I won't have the chance to say such a sentence maybe in the next couple of decades. Bayern Munich and 5th place are totally contrasting things, but that's the situation with Niko Kovac ahead. Infact Bayern show two different faces in Bundesliga and CL. In Bundesliga for example they missed points in ridiculous ways- 3:3 in the last round against Dusseldorf after leading with 3:1, but visitors'striker Lukebakio punished them with a hattrick he will never forget. He scored in the last seconds of the match and everyone in Munich were absolutely shocked. It happened almost the same against Freiburg after a late equalizer by the visitors for the final 1:1. They also lost the derby against Dortmund with 3:2 although they had the lead two times. 0:3 against Gladbach was the peak for sure.. But in CL we see the other face of Bayern Munich- 3 wins with 2:0 till now against AEK and Benfica and a draw 1:1 against a team in excellent form like Ajax. Bayern want only one thing right now and that's the 1st place in the group. They know Ajax have a big chance to take the max points in Greece in this round, so Bayern win against Benfica is absolutely required and I have no doubt they will take it, although they are shaky through the season.
Benfica are 4th in Portugal, which is also surprising, but they have obvious problems. I watched some of their last matches and defensively they are worse than Bayern. In the last league game against Tondela they won as visitors with 1:3, but it happened in very strange way. Tondela took the lead in the first minute, then Benfica equalized. Tondela missed a golden chance for taking the lead once again after there was a clearance off the line by Benfica defender. Then we saw the referee taking the leading role after he decided to send off two of Tondela players during the 2nd half. Even with 10 mens while it was 1:2, Tondela have a chance to equalize after their player was one-on-one against the keeper, but missed it. A few weeks earlier they lost as visitors against Belenenses with 2:0+ 1:3 at home against Moreirense. I think some of the players in the club have problems with the coach and there is a pressure on him. No one will forget their outstandingly bad performance during the last season in CL after finishing with 0 points and 1:14 goal difference. This season they had the luck to have a team weaker than them like AEK, which will gift them a place in EL during the spring.
Benfica will miss for this game Eduardo Salvio, Ebuehi, Lema and Yuri Ribeiro, while Bayern will be without the expected ones- Alcantara, Coman, Tolisso, Rodriguez and Gnabry(doubtful).
Their first match finished 2:0 for Bayern and I expect almost the same outcome tomorrow night. I think Bayern will press Benfica from the start of the match looking for an early goal which will make their job much easier. I looked for different options here and I really hoped to find an option to play in bet 365 Bayern+over 2.5 goals, which is the best for me here, but they offer only Bayern+over /under 3.5 goals. That's too tricky, so I decided to try with another logical and possible pick- Bayern to have the lead at HT and FT. I expect something like 2:0 or 2:1 for Bayern in this game and really hope Bayern will succeed to have a lead, even if it is 1:0 at HT. Bayern are not so good defensively, but Benfica are even worse than them, so taking a lead at HT is more than possible job for Bayern.
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Bayern Munich vs Benfica prediction
|1/1 HT/FT||Bet365||1.80||9||5-1 WON (+7.2 units)|