Crvena zvezda vs Liverpool
Crvena Zvezda will host Liverpool in the 4th round of CL in Belgrade.
Crvena Zvezda are in a group with Liverpool, PSG and Napoli and with their 1 point after 3 rounds it's obvious their chances to progress in the next round of EL or CL are too small. Liverpool, on the other side, are the leaders of the group before that match with 2 wins and 1 loss. In their first match two weeks ago in Liverpool everything was pretty clear even before the start of the game- everyone expected full dominance by the hosts, a lot of goal chances and goals and it happened. 4:0 for Liverpool, the forward trio was unstoppable with all Firmino-Salah-Mane on the scoreboard. They also missed a penalty and a couple more chances for even bigger result, so it would be strange to expect anything different in Belgrade except another convincing win for Liverpool. Maybe a lot of people will say that Zvezda stopped at home Napoli in the start of the group stages, but Napoli and Liverpool have different style of play and believe me, Zvezda can not deal with English top sides, especially against last year CL runner-up Liverpool led by Klopp.
Zvezda are superb in their domestic league, but still they miss the CL experience and that led to ten goals in their net for three matches. Tomorrow the number is looking to increase for sure as Liverpool want one of the top two places in the group and in the end even the goal difference can be decisive factor. We will see after a month which team between Napoli, Liverpool and PSG will have to play in EL instead of CL 1/8 finals, but here Liverpool will want to take another three points with convincing display and result. With such a star-team it's hard to believe they will not do it. I remember when another team from the Balkans, typical as class as Zvezda(Ludogorets), faced Liverpool in 2014, our team received two goals for the final 2:2, but then Liverpool were much weaker than nowadays and also missed chances for more goals. That's why I am confident that teams from the Balkans, except some from Greece and Turkey, can not be equal with the top Elglish sides for a long time, even playing at home.
Zvezda will miss Boakye and Babic tomorrow, while the visitors will be without Oxlade-Chamberlain, Henderson, Clyne, Shaqiri(coach decision) and Keita. Still have enough quality in midfield with players like Milner-Wijnaldum-Fabinho and Lallana.
Zvezda are capable of scoring a goal against Liverpool tomorrow, even without their main forward Richmond Boakye. Marin is the main player to do it, but still that's not my priority to look for goal/s by the hosts. -1.5 AH for the visitors looks very logical to happen, but the odds are 1.57 and really not tempting for me as a single pick. Combining them with one more pick will look good as odds, but not alone. So, I will play little bit different here and will look for visitors goals. Liverpool will score at least twice tomorrow, I am almost 100% confident in that state, but the chances to score more than two goals are also high for me. I am going with the pick Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals and maybe 0:3 or 1:3 as a correct score. The odds are too high for something logical like that to happen when we also have in common the difference in class between the opponents!
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Crvena zvezda vs Liverpool prediction
|Liverpool- over 2.5 goals||Bet365||1.90||9||2-0 LOST (-9 units)|