AEK Athens vs Bayern Munich
AEK host Bayern Munich in the 3rd round of CL.
Bayern finally earned a win against Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga during the weekend, although they received a red card by Robben during the second half. I am sure their mood is not the best one, because not only they aren't leaders in the domestic league, but also they are with 4 points from 2 games in their CL group after the home draw against Ajax and they have to do their best against AEK to take the max 6 points from both games. Ribery, Tolisso and Coman are out of the team, but still they can play with really powerful starting 11 tomorrow.
On the other side is AEK, which team was drawn in very tough group, started the CL matches with a few problems(suspensions of Livaja and Lopez), which are still valid. In my eyes they had some chances to take point/s only against Benfica, because Ajax is almost perfect during the season, while Bayern will be very motivated in both games against them, so I don't see how they can take the Germans even a point. Well, they lost their home game against Benfica, so the possibility to finish without a point is really high as percentages.
The odds for Bayern win are very small, which is normal, because if they want to avoid any problems about their progress in the next round, they have to win max points against AEK. But a single win against Wolfsburg after so many mistakes doesn't really convince me they can easily cover -1.5 AH. Still that will be maybe the most played pick for this game, but I will look for another option.
It's interesting that Bayern got a lot of cards in the last couple of games in both Bundesliga and CL. When we take that their opponent is AEK, which team is from Greece and it's very typical for their club teams and national team to take part in matches with a lot of yellow and even red cards, I will go with over 3.5 cards in the match at very good odds in bet 365- 1.66. I am sure AEK with try to stop fast and technical players like Robben and Thiago with a lot of fouls and only their team can receive 3 of the cards tomorrow. Bayern also receive at least two cards in the last couple of matches, so the possibility their team to have a card is also high.
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AEK Athens vs Bayern Munich prediction
|Over 3.5 cards||Bet365||1.66||9||0 LOST (-9 units)|