Bayern Munich vs Ajax
Bayern Munich host Ajax in the 2nd round of Champions league.
Both teams started with impressive wins in the start. Ajax beat AEK Athens 3:0 at home after brillinat dispaly, especially during the 2nd half of the match, while Bayern Munich played an equal match as visitors against Benfica, but they used to score in two of their chances and won it 0:2.
So, now about the most important thing- how did I chose this pick Ajax +2AH? First reason is because I don't trust a lot in Niko Kovac as a coach of Bayern Munich. He is not of the level of Ancelotti or Guardiola for sure, he is not close to their experience and it's more than obvious, he has his own view how Bayern to look in the future, but still the results are not convincing, especially in the last weeks. Ok, they succeeded to beat teams like Stuttgart, Frankfurt, even Schalke with dominant performance on the pitch, but against Leverkusen they didn't show anything special- just an outburst for five-ten minutes with two goals for the comeback and after the red card of Bellarabi they finished the game with third goal . The final result was good, because they won the game, but it was obvious the problems for the club are knocking on the door. Well, they came faster than expected and in the last two games they drew with Augsburg at home 1:1 and were absolutely horrible in their away match against Hertha, lost with 2:0. The main problem for me is the weak performance in the midfield. I can't understand why Niko relies so much on Renato Sanches, when this player is out of form in the last couple of seasons. Muller is not in form, Lewandowski is also not productive as he was in the previous seasons. Yeah, they have a bunch of goals, but they are two of the main players, who has to lead Bayern to the trophies.
On the other side is Ajax. They started from the qualifications and are now part of the CL groups. Their start of the season is more than excellent with only one weak perfrmance and it was 10 days ago against PSV. They lost the match 3:0, but the result doesn't represent what really happened. Ajax had so much possession, something like 65:35% and equal shots with PSV, but the home team was the productive one, which scored in most of their goal chances. I think Ajax needed that loss to stay on the ground and be much more careful, when they face better opponents. Now they will have second big test after PSV and it's Bayern, but the Germans are obviously not in brilliant form.
Bayern will miss Coman, Tolisso, Rafinha and Goretzka, while the visitors will be without Cerny, Bande, Sinkgraven and Veltman. Still they can use their best players, because these are not very significant missings.
Strangely or not, I like Ajax midfield and attack more than Bayern's one right now as performance, although the quality is with Bayern. Of course, Munich are the favourites to win this home match, but I am very confident Ajax will not be blown away tomorrow. The visitors has the attacking players to score a goal at Allianz Arena, so BTTS+over 2.5 goals looks like a very tempting pick for me. Still that's my second pick..My first one is Ajax +2AH, because I don't think Ajax will lose with more than one or two goals difference, if they don't receive a red card. The odds are great- over 1.90 in bet 365 and Pinnacle, but if you want to play absolutely safe, just pick Ajax +2.5 AH at about 1.55-1.60.
Bayern Munich vs Ajax prediction
|Ajax +2AH||Pinnacle||1.94||9||1-1 WON (+8.46 units)|