Crvena zvezda vs Napoli (By: FairPlayBet)
Champions League, Day 1
Match from the Group C, Crvena zvezda will host team of Napoli. The other two sides in this group are Liverpool and PSG. So, very tough group with two of few best European teams right now, plus Napoli is not bad either.
The Serbian team is for the first time in the Champions League group stage and obviously the draw wasn't on their side. But, it is what it is, you can't chance anything now. There is no reason to regret, after all when luck was needed (in the qualifications), Crvena zvezda had it pretty much all the time.
For Crvena zvezda the aim is already achieved and now they will play relaxed, meaning without pressure. We'll see if they can win some points in this group, obviously meeting with Napoli and at home is by far the best chance for them to do so.
Crvena zvezda is much stronger than in previous seasons. Huge money arrived to the club and their squad is way better now than for example season ago when they competed in the group stage of the EL. It didn't look like that at the start of the season but many players were arriving as qualifications were going on. Though, Radonjic left at the end of qualifications. In any case, we can say this is great group of players. But, the problem is cause now the competition level is of course much higher too.
I won't try anything today with match winner/handicap market and instead, I'll go with totals. Under 2.5 seems to me as very nice option.
We know that in last few years (since Milojevic is the coach), defense is the best part of this team. We know that all their games on the group stage in the Europa League were low scoring. IMO today's start in the Champions League could be similar too.
Napoli is better side obviously but they are not goal machine like Liverpool and especially not like PSG. Plus, it is first game, they probably don't know either what to expect from Crvena zvezda. It could be very tied start, probably a little bit cautious approach in early stage from both teams.
There will be packed stadium, 52+ K people. Big wind in the back for the home team. But, I wouldn't count much on that if I am CZ bettor, cause if someone got used to play in such environment then it is Napoli. Plus, the visiting team will have their own 2 to 3 thousands noisy fans on this game too.
The home team is in long series of victories in Serbian League. But again, I wouldn't count too much on that. This now is obviously something way different.
In last game in Serbia, CZ was without few guys who were rested. Also Ben skipped the game due to minor injury. He is questionable for today's game too but IMO probably will play. So, the host will have the best squad available.
For Napoli Ghoulam and Chirickes are out in defense as well Younes upfront. Not too much important absences if you ask me.
I see final score somewhere from 0:0, 1:1 draw or 0:1, 0:2 Napoli win. Three goals would be surprise for me.
By players, for players
Crvena zvezda vs Napoli prediction
|Under 2.5||Pinnacle||1.85||8||0-0 WON (+6.8 units)|