Crvena zvezda vs Spartaks
Second leg of the 1st round Champions League qualifications.
Crvena zvezda will host champion of Latvia, Spartaks. Champion that is not doing very well in Latvian league in this season. Namely there seaaon starts earlier and already 15 rounds have been played while Spartaks is only 5th right now.
The first leg played in Latvia although finished 0:0, has showed we have here quite big quality difference. Crvena zvezda was better team and created enough goal chances to score few times, or at least once. But, it didn't happen. Weak efficiency was something to be worried but given it was first official game for Serbian champion, I think everything will look much better now at home.
Also note that Crvena zvezda was a little bit unlucky to early in the game remained without new striker Stojiljkovic who had to leave the game (somewhere around 15th minute) due to injury. That being said, Stojiljkovic won't play today either but IMO the host will know how to find the way to score. Much is expected from Radonjic who was member of the Serbian team on the just finished WC.
As for other players, beside Stojiljkovic, only Srnic is not available for today's match.
Absence of Stojiljkovic at first look is significant and probably would kept me off this bet if the opponent is a little bit more serious. But after I saw first leg, I think there won't be here doubts, the host can win this convincingly and thus to cover this handicap.
So, it should be convincing victory today, but it could be again offensive struggle for Crvena zvezda to some point.. But IMO after Zvezda score first goal, everything would be much easier. Plus, Spartaks won't score if you ask me. Namely, looking the first match, I got impression they are weaker than I thought. They couldn't create any threats in front of Zvezda's goal. If that was the case at home, hardly is going to be different now.
Home win to nil is probably the best option but odds for that are quite modest so I am taking this bigger risk.
Crvena zvezda vs Spartaks prediction
|CZ -2.25||Bet365||1.85||9||2-0 HALF LOST (-4.5 units)|