Cagliari vs Milan by Enzo

Cagliari got completely outplayed and showed many defensive gaps last time out, as the team suffered quite heavy 6:2 defeat away from home to Sassuolo last Sunday evening. First halftime was really open and the players of Sassuolo dominated a lot, managing to score four goals in the process - via Magnanelli, Berardi, Politano and an own goal, while Cagliari just reduced temporarily via Sau.

Hosts netted once more in the second halftime via Iemmello from the penalty kick, Ionita replied back in 60th minute, but Matri wrote final 6:2 during the additional time. This game wasn't important for Cagliari and the team won't be disappointed much with it, as they now await Milan and hope to extend their home winning streak to fourth game - previously winning over Empoli, Pescara and Chievo.

Home side should be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation using Borriello as central striker, plus Farias, Pedro and Gennaro as offensive midfielders. They will miss suspended trio central defender Bruno Alves (36/1), right back Mauricio Isla (34/1) and forward Marco Sau (34/7). Central defender Luca Ceppitelli (19/0) is injured, same as midfielders Daniele Dessena (18/2) and Nicolo Barella (28/0) and forward Federico Melchiorri (10/3). This means a bit more difficult job for their coach Massimo Rastelli.

Milan finally sealed their qualification for the Europa League last weekend, after the team have won over Bologna 3:0 last Sunday evening. It wasn't that easy game for them as the final result shows, but was fully deserved since the players of Milan have showed and created much more chances overall for ninety minutes.

However, despite their dominance, the team from Milan only managed to open the scoreline in last twenty minutes of the game, thanks to Deulofeu in 69th, Honda in 73rd and Lapadula in first minute of additional time. After this victory, they are at sixth position with six points less than fifth placed Atalanta and four more than Inter and Fiorentina, meaning that this last round's game away to Cagliari doesn't have competitive motive for them.

Visitors are set to play in 4-3-3 formation with Suso, Lapadula and Deulofeu as forwards. Offensive midfielder Giacomo Bonaventura (19/3) is missing due injury, same as right full back Ignazio Abate (23/0), left backs Mattia De Sciglio (25/0) and Luca Antonelli (7/0), while central defender Alessio Romagnoli (27/1) probably won't be risked with his fitness being questionable.

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of Cagliari's last 8 games (Serie A).
  • Cagliari have won their last 3 home matches (Serie A).

Cagliari's games are usually entertaining and full of offensive action and this being the last one of the season, I don't expect anything different. Milan achieved Europa League qualification and have less motivation in this one with their target being finally reached, so I expect a game with a lot of chances from both sides and surely both scoring in the progress.

Bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.92 with Pinnacle
Result: 2-1 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+19 -14

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