Birmingham vs Brentford by Luke

Birmingham didn't show many positive things in the local derby game against Aston Villa last Sunday afternoon, but the side remained undefeated in a goalless game that didn't impress much the fans overall. First halftime was more open one and the hosts had some chances, while they remained with more ball possession in the second too, however with the Villans being more concrete in attack.

This was their second consecutive game without a goal scored as they previously suffered 2:0 defeat away to Millwall, but the side remained undefeated in last three at home. Still, scoring goals remains their first problem with just eight goals netted in first fourteen rounds, only Burton being weaker than them in that part of the game - still, the side is just above the relegation zone having two points more than twenty-second placed Sunderland and just four more than rock bottom placed Bolton.

Gallagher should lead the attack of the home team as central striker in 4-2-3-1 formation, together with Adams, Ndoye and Jota as offensive midfielders. Midfielder Jason Lowe (3/0) is already kind of a long term absentee due injury, while out are also right backs Carl Jenkinson (1/0), Nsue (10/0) and goalkeeper David Stockdale (8/0). Forward Isaac Vassell is doubtful after forced off the field in previous game.

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Brentford, on the other side, comes from a 2:3 victory away from home against Preston on Saturday evening, in one of more interesting matches of previous Championship's round. It was a very concrete performance in attack from both sides, where the player of Brentford looked more concrete even though they didn't have much of the ball possession.

However, they looked better in attack in the first halftime and took the lead via Yannaris in 25th minute, but the hosts leveled up in 41st via Maguire. Start of the second halftime was especially interesting, with the guests again taking the lead in 56th minute via Sawyers, but the home team replied ten minutes later with a goal from Barkhuizen, however a moment of lack of concentration cost them too much since the visitors scored another goal via Watkins in next attack. Brentford is now at eighteenth position with sixteen points, four more than their tonight's opponents and six more than relegating worried Sunderland.

Visitors should be playing in 4-3-3 formation with Jozefzoon, Vibe and Watkins as forwards. Offensive midfielder Alan Judge is long term absentee without performing so far in the season, while sidelined also remains left back Rico Henry (8/0). Defensive midfielder Nico Yennaris (14/4) probably won't be playing here being doubtful for now.

  • Birmingham have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Brentford.

Birmingham is far away from a naive side, but they simply can't find consistency. Even though I do regard them as a decent side, the hosts are having lot of problems finding opponents net and with Brenftord coming in a very decent form and scoring with ease, I see plenty of value backing the away side this time.

Bet: Brentford -0.25 Asian handicap @ 2.16 with Marathonbet
Result: 0-2 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+12 -4

1 Comment

  1. Kenblick says:

    Tricky game again. I see another 1x today

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