AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse by Meese
AZ Alkmaar has started really well into the new season, but the team might have made two setbacks in the most recent matches they played and it seems that the international break came in the perfect time for them. Apart from a narrow loss to PSV, they had four victories and a draw before getting a point in matches against Go Ahead Eagles in front of own fans 2:2 and in the most recent game away from home against Sparta Rotterdam that ended with a 1:1 result.
Combined with a their defeat in Europa League against Zenit, it's obvious that the team wasn't in the best possible shape before the match against Sparta, but they still managed to take the lead in sixth minute via Til, however without being able to keep the lead till the halftime. Home side looked like they control the ball more, however without being very concrete in attack, while neither of the teams looked like willing to risk a lot as the time progressed.
Hosts can't count at central defender Ron Vlaar (7/0), plus forward Wout Weghorst (6/4). Their coach John van den Brom is expected to filed up similar team in comparison to the previous time out.
With four victories, a draw and three defeats, Vitesse is just about where everyone expected them to be, not only now but during the season - inside the play-off positions. Currently they are at sixth position together with Twente, two points above the teams which aren't in the play-off zone, while title race and top three positions look completely unrealistic for them this season.
In the previous game they played, the team won 2:1 at home against Groningen in quite an open game from both sides, where the home team had much more of the ball possession, while the visitors didn't look naive either, using the counter attacks really well. Away from home the team has two consecutive defeats, against Twente and Ajax and there's no doubt that the side is desperate to change the things around and not to come back with the third straight defeat on the road. Visitors miss defender/midfielder Sheran Yeini (3/0) and he is only absentee.
- AZ Alkmaar have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Vitesse.
- AZ Alkmaar have scored at least 2 goals in their last 9 home matches (Eredivisie).
AZ Alkmaar looks like way more complete team in my eyes here. They didn't do well in previous couple of matches, but I expect them to come up even stronger now after the break. I see chances of AZ Alkmaar winning here well above 50% and therefore the odds remain valuable in my eyes.