Armenia vs Montenegro by Isaiah
Armenia is having very bad start into the new qualifications and with three defeats in first three rounds, the team is already far away from any kind of battle for the first two positions. However, it needs to be said that they also played against rock solid sides and didn't leave that poor image of themselves.
Narrow defeat away to Denmark is nothing to be ashamed of, while they suffered ugly 0:5 loss at home to Romanians, however needs to be said that the Armenians played with a man less since third minute. Finally, in the previous game they played, the team suffered again narrow, 2:1 defeat away in Poland, having a draw result for the most of the time, but still deservedly being defeated in the end since the Polish side dominated the game a lot. Now their morale can only go down after such defeats, but the team needs to react here in order to revert their atmosphere at least.
Defender Gael Andonian (13/0) shouldn't be playing here, but also Hovhannes Hambardzumyan (Vardar), midfielders Aras Ozbiliz (28/4), Karlen Mkrchyan (46/2) and forward Edgar Manucharyan (50/9).
Montenegro, on the other side, could be very satisfied with their start of these qualifications, since the team remains undefeated and with two victories and a draw, currently holds the first position with seven points earned, same number of points as Poland and two more than third placed Romania. Having that in mind, this game comes as a must win situation in order to keep their chances of reaching the World Cup high.
After starting draw away to Romania, which can be described as a positive result for them, Montenegro went on and took victories over Kazakhstan 5:0 at home, but also very important three pointer in a 1:0 victory on the road to Denmark. It was quite a surprise as well, since the Danish side looked like favorites before the game and actually deserved something more out of the match. However, visitors took the lead out of one of their chances they had, in 32nd minute via Beqiraj and stood well in the defense for the rest of the game. Left back Vladimir Volkov (17/0) should be their only real absentee for this one.
Motive, atmosphere and form are completely on the side of Montenegro which is doing fine job under new coach. I rate away victory very likely high here, since the visiting team has more quality as well and the chances of their victory are bigger than 50% in my eyes.