Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland

Aarhus was quite an underdog last weekend when the team visited Midtjylland, but still managed to walk away with a point in a goalless draw away from home last Saturday evening. There's no doubt that the home side was quite better during the game and actually dominated it, however that winning goal never came.

Players of Midtjylland were much better, they had much more of the ball possession, however goal scoring chances didn't came so easily. Players from Aarhus were also using their own chances well, but the goal was missing even though they looked decently concrete as well.

During the preparation period, they had two noticable matches, losing out to Midtjylland 1:3 and haivng a 2:2 draw against Djurgarden two weeks prior the start of the league.

Central midfielder Mustafa Amini is injured and can't perform here. Similar to central striker Tobias Sana who is also out injured.

Norsdjaellend also didn't have the best possible start of the season as the team had a 1:1 draw at home against Esbjerg last weekend. They took the lead in eleventh via Donyoh while the visiting side leveled up in 64th minute thanks to a goal from Sorensen.

However, must be said that the players of Nordsjaelland have deserved much more, since they had far more of the ball possession and chances created. Esbjerg had very few chances and have leveled up the result out of rare chance of theirs, while there's no doubt that the home team deserved more.

As for Nordsjaelland, their start of the league came in between of their Europa League matches where they won over Cliftonville, thanks to a narrow 1:0 victory on the road and again narrow 2:1 home win last Thursday evening. Even though the visiting side took the lead in the second leg, there was no doubt which side is better in this clash overall.

Team captain and central midfielder Mathias Jensen is injured for this one.

Players of Aarhus had a really nice balance between their attack and defensive mode in the first round and it's something that I liked a lot this time. Nordsjalland is far away from a naive side, however with Europa League duties on their shoulders, I see this game as definitely too much for them to take this time. All the value is with the home team.

Intertops

Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland prediction

Aarhus Wins @ 2.14 with Pinnacle

Result: 1-1 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+22 -12

4 Comments

  1. NoNameDane says:

    It’s true that FCN missing Mathias Jensen is a huge blow for them, and that can easy be the one difference between 3 points or non at all.
    But home side AGF are a notoriously bad home side. They have so much trouble performing at home, especially against clubs from the top half og the table, which FCN pretty much always are. Looking back at AGFs home stats you’ll find some wins earlier this year, but that was from when they were in the relegation playoff group.
    I’m not saying AGF can not win, but be carefull with picking them for a home win. Always a good advice to think twice before picking AGF for a home win.

  2. San Michel says:

    I gotta say i disagree. For the first time this season Nordsj√¶lland will be the “under dogs” and will be allowed to play on the counter. They have lightning speed upfront with a lot of young talented players. During midweek they were able to rest almost their entire first team so they should be ready to go. Only thing that happened was their best striker picked a small injury “Godsway”, so it will be interresting to see if he is fit.
    However i do believe AGF will score but so will FCN. If i should pick any value i would go against you and say X2 for a better side that are allowed to play on the counter.

    Good luck though, hope it comes in for you :)

  3. alex says:

    I agree with Meese it’s greatest opportunity for aarhause today. When Nord has aik on Thursday it cannot focus properly on today game. Some people don’t understand importance of euroleague games for low medium budget european teams. This is direct payments from uefa, possibility bust prices for players, ads for sponsors etc…

  4. NoNameDane says:

    Good opportunity or not. You have to understand the psychology of the club Aarhus GF. It’s been called “The mad house” in danish football for more than a decade.
    In a city the size of Liverpool they still can’t manage to build a decent football club. They’ve been relegated 3 times within a decade, sacking managers, people from the direction and board members every now and then. So much chaos.
    It’s at it’s best now (or least worst) but it’s still no where near stable.
    AGF is one of the most unstable home sides in Denmark. No matter how good players they have, they just continue to underperform at home.
    Even if they turn this 0-1 around I still have only one advice.
    Always think twice before betting on AGF to win at home.

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