Triglav vs Mura (By: Stanioooo)

Triglav will face Mura in the 28th round of Slovenian Prva Liga.

In the latest rounds both teams are going in different directions. Triglav is the team maybe in worst form in the league if we see their recent results in the last 5 games they played. They are still 2 points above Gorica and the place which leads to relegation play-off with a team from the lower division. Triglav are a team which sometimes can produce surprises, they showed it against Ljubljana beating them 2:1 at home month and a half ago, but after that they just recorded a bunch of miserable results. Firstly Celje beat them 4:0 at home, but what happened in the last two rounds is the key which led to make a pick about this game. 10 days ago Domzale just destroyed them 6:1 at home in a match they could easily concede even more goals, because there were a few other missed chances by the hosts, while the goal of Triglav in the end was a comedy one, you have to watch it. In the last game a week ago, Triglav lost at home with 0:4 against a team from the bottom of the table, also in poor form(Rudar). Rudar somehow totally outplayed Triglav as visitors having 12 shots on and off target, while they hosts only two. The result should be even 0:5/0:6, but some 100% chances for the visitors were missed. One thing should be underlined here and that's the awful defensive play by Triglav in the last month. Everyone can score them goals right now..In attack they rely mostly on their main striker Majcen.

Mura are 5th in the table, just a point behind the 3rd position which gives participation in EL. They will be fighting for it till the end of the league together with Domzale, Celje and Aluminij, but Domzale and Mura are the teams which are the main favorites for it. It has to be marked that Mura are the team in best form right now if we look the results of all teams' last five matches, even better than Maribor and Ljubljana. They recorded 4 wins and 1 draw(against Ljubljana outplaying them as shots at home but couldn't find a way to break their defense). Mura are very strong home team beating though the season even teams like Maribor with 4:1 and Domzale with 5:1, but they improved their performance even as guests winning their last two visits to Gorica with 0:1 and Celje with 0:2. Amadej Marosa and Luka Bobicanec are their main weapons in attack and they are expected to be the main danger for the moody defense of Triglav.

It's hard to find any info about injuries of both teams, but what I know for sure is that the right defender of Triglav Cristjan Cesen is suspended after a red card in the last match against Rudar. Infact, in this game all players in the defensive line of Triglav received a yellow card, so it's possible to have another suspended player/s for this game. The visitors should not make any major changes in their group of players and should rely on their best.

I can't see anything else here than a visitors' win. Very poor performances by the hosts in defense in the last rounds, Mura progressed a lot in the right time. Watched the game against Ljubljana and really enjoyed how fast they can make transitions from defense to attack in a matter of a few seconds without making a lot of unnecessarily passes. In the next round they even host Maribor and I have the feeling I will play this team twice till the end of the month. It really depends what will produce in this game as performance against Triglav, but Mura are the better team right now and have to find the way to take the max points.

The only thing which annoys me a little bit is that I played it yesterday when the odds in bet365 were 2.00, but now everywhere they dropped to 1.70-1.75 for a visitors' win.

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Triglav vs Mura predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
2 Bet365 1.72 9 2-1 LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Triglav vs Mura betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Stanioooo).
+3 -1
 
Comments (7)
Samuel
Good morning sir, please one more game
04/20/2019 - 12:06
Wonder
Hi Stan! Am a big fan if yours! Your doing a wonderful job...any parlay for today?
04/20/2019 - 12:15
Samuel
The away win odd is 1.55 now
04/20/2019 - 13:47
Stan
@Samuel

I saw that, I can close my pick even before its start on not a small win- form 2.00 dropped to 1.53 in bet365.

You can play it live when the odds increase a little bit, unless Mura score an early goal as it happened in their last away match.
04/20/2019 - 14:28
Robber
This was fishy.. 2/1 with odds around 40...2 penalties for Triglav..call me a sceptic but somebody made a lot of money out of this crap
04/20/2019 - 17:47
Robert
@Robber I agree with you. This was a set up.
04/20/2019 - 19:34
Stan
I closed my bet even before the halftime with an excellent win, although in betshoot it is lost.

This match was fixed, it was obvious- first half(1 shot off target for the hosts, while the visitors created 10 shots and totally dominated), second half(somehow the hosts started to attack out of nowhere and had 2 penalties+domination). They were scored and after that the visitors started to dominate "looking" for an equalizer.

I've seen much better fixed games than this one :D
04/20/2019 - 22:06
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