Valencia vs Alba Berlin (By: FairPlayBet)

Eurocup, playoffs finals, Game 3

The series is tied and this is now crucial game. Both teams won when were hosts. Still, Valencia in Game 1 here demolished Alba while Game 2 in Berlin was decided in Over Time.

Basically, there is nothing new to be said. Valencia is the team on higher level plus they have home court advantage, I must stick to that although I'm not underestimating Alba who has lot of talent.

Valencia is unbeaten here at home entire Eurocup campaign, after Game 1 this streak went to 11-0.

Basically, this clash between Valencia and Alba is going to be the clash between Valencia great defense and Alba offense (the best in Eurocup 88.5 pts). And here I must give advantage to Valencia. We saw in Game 1 how Alba's offense couldn't be constant on this tough road court. At the end they scored only 75 pts and it wouldn't be even that much if the game wasn't decided already after 3rd period so Valencia was more relaxed in final period. The host allow the second lowest number of offensive rebounds and makes only 11 turnovers per game which is Eurocup best. In Game 2 on the road this wasn't the case. Valencia made back then 19 turnovers, Alba only 8. But it still was tied game and decided in OT.

Obviously now back at home when Valencia again play their well known great defense, when they don't allow too many offensive rebounds (Alba's quality), when they cut again those turnovers to their usual number, in that case I feel Valencia shouldn't be in problems to win the match.

I said in Game 2 preview how it would be good to Alba wins and we have Game 3 cause in that case, there is sure winner on Valencia. I still think so, but the handicap is bigger now. This time I opted for HT- FT bet on home team. You can find it at bet365 for odds 1.71.

IMO the same as in Game 1, Valencia would be dominant early. Almost double digits first quarter was back then.

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Valencia vs Alba Berlin predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
HT-FT, 1/1 Bet365 1.71 10 89-63 WON (+7.1 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Valencia vs Alba Berlin betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (FairPlayBet).
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Comments (3)
Garux
What did you think of over 159.5 @fairplayBet
04/15/2019 - 18:46
FairPlayBet
I am not sure. Two completely opposite styles. Valencia strong in defense, Alba in offense. Obviously much would depend if Alba could find their offensive rhythm a little bit longer period than in first game. If you believe in over and if you have opportunity to use bet365, I would suggest to use alternative lines and to go with over on lower line. Say you cut it down for 6 to 7 pts and then combine it with Valencia money line. Overall odds should be around 1.90.
04/15/2019 - 19:55
Miyagi
Daru won the cup last season and a place in Euroleague... which turned out to be a sad story...
Bertomeu is taking no risks this time. If he has to, he will do what's necessary, he knows how... Valencia wins, period. You don't need over/ under.
04/15/2019 - 20:49
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