Cagliari vs Fiorentina (By: Joey)
Maybe not the most popular bet as Fiorentina has (most likely) 2 important players out.
Veretout is suspended and Chiesa got injured.
We should have smth like that:
Lafont - Milenkovic, Pezzella, Hugo, Biraghi - Fernandes, Norgaard, Benassi - Gerson, Simeone - Muriel.
So Norgaard (or Dabo) for Veretout, clearly one level below.
And Simeone for Chiesa, there as well one level below especially this season (Simeone not doing the job he should do this year).
I think the manager will come back to his 4-3-2-1 after playing with 5 at the back vs Atalanta.
If he persist with 5 at the back, not such a big deal anyway.
Cagliari has Bradaris suspended but that is irrelevant, he is far from decisive and can play with best team then at the time of writing.
So why the hell Fiorentina?
Because of the odds.
Last 3 home matches, Cagliari closed +0.75 1.97 vs Inter (Inter without Icardi) and +1.0 1.90 vs Atalanta. (-0.5 2.08 vs Parma).
So Fiorentina's level is below Inter and Atalanta but not crazy below either. (on Sunday 03 march, Atlanta - Fio closed -0.5 1.86).
Overall -0.25 2.04 looks good enough to me despite 2 starters out.
Would have Fio -0.25 1.87 at 100%.
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Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction
|Fiorentina -0.25 AH||Bet365||1.87||8||2-1 LOST (-8 units)|