Baskonia vs Gran Canaria
Baskonia is playing much better basketball than Gran Canaria and they controlled them pretty well in the first game at their court. Even though Baskonia lost against Olympiakos they had 77:80 at the scoreboard few seconds before the end of the game, so they could have easily won the game.
Gran Canaria is playing bad offensively in last couple of games, especially at home where they were 80+ pts team on avg but in last 4 home games they scored 71, 73, 70 and 67 points. I can't see that part improving much on the road games. After all Baskonia is decent defensively, they would have held Olympiakos at 77 points and it is also a 80+ pts team on home court.
At the same time Baskonia is at least 85 points team on their court and they already played against Gran Canaria in ACB league and won 91:76. In that game I had Gran Canaria to score Under 76.5 what ended right on the line but this time I can't imagine them scoring that much considering their offense in last few games while I would expect similar performance of Baskonia. Yep, Gran Canaria scored 77 points at Olympiakos in their last away game but there was no defense in that game in second HT since Olympiakos had a comfortable lead.
I could see 87:69 result in this game.
Baskonia vs Gran Canaria prediction
|Baskonia -11.5||Pinnacle||1.94||7||83-66 WON (+6.58 units)|